New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/21/2022

by James Q

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/21/2022 

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, September 21st, 2022
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Where to Watch: MLB.tv, 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Mets -125, Brewers +105; O/U 8.5
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: 
 

Season Record

Mets: 94-55, 1st place NL East
Brewers: 78-69, 2nd place NL East

The Mets took a big win off of the Brewers 7-2.  I predicted 6-3, but 7-2 works. A moneyline win is a moneyline win. I wish I had nudged you to bet ATS… but still a win is a win.  The reason I didn’t push the moneyline is that the Brewers have good enough numbers to beat the Mets off an odd inning. In fact the Brewers are good.  So, let’s look closely at the pitching matchup for Game 3, (game 2 will play Tuesday night).    The Great Betting Opportunity is here. 

A National League matchup of the 1st place NL East team against the 2nd place NL Central team.  It is a funny betting line.  Yes, the Mets are favored… but it is as close to a pick’ em as you can get while still favoring somebody.  The Mets have a better record by a full 14 wins… and the Mets have to play in the same division as the Atlanta Braves… who while second in the NL East are still 3 games better than the Cardinals in the NL Central… follow?... It seems the NL Central is the tougher division.  So the Great Betting Opportunity is the almost even odds.. Or we are looking at a lopsided pitching matchup, if Scherzer doesn’t make the start, in favor of the Brewers.  Let’s check the numbers… and the pitching matchup and make a bet worth our time and money.

The New York Mets have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They are easily top-five in batting and easily top-ten in pitching.  They also contributed a bunch of players to this season’s all-star game.  The Mets got bad news recently when Starling Marte landed on the injury list  with a bad finger… his CF spot is not much to worry about but his bat will be missed.  Insane animal pitcher Max Scherzer is listed as probable for Monday after a brief stint for an oblique soreness.  Still this Mets team is loaded and full of pep.  They went 2-0 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 0-3 to the Chicago Cubs, 2-1 against the Miami Marlins, and 2-0 against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  

The Milwaukee Brewers have won 7 of their last 10 games.  With a low team batting average and a low team ERA.. they seem to rise a bit to do well in the other numbers like scoring and WHIP.  This shoestring approach however has a tendency of backfiring.  They spent most of the season as the NL Central’s #1 team until the St Louis Cardinals overtook them.  They went 2-0 against the New York Yankees, 1-1 against the St Louis Cardinals, 2-1 against the Cincinnati Reds, 2-0 against the San Francisco Giants, and 0-1 against the Colorado Rockies during that stretch.  This is a team patiently waiting for a final kick of the season… They have big bats with Christain Yelich, Willy Adames, and Hunter Renfroe.  Will it start?... When will it start?  Are any of the missing pitchers coming back in time for the postseason?

Al McMordie is 5-0 in MLB picks over the last 7 days for a profit of +$5,000!! You should be following along with the expert handicappers at BigAl.com. Get Big Al’s picks… It's available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers. You can also get help with all your favorite sports and sport betting.., MLB, NBA, NCAAF, NFL, NHL.  Follow a handicapper all year long to ensure a profitable year from your sports betting.

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Review and Analysis

Recent Form

  

Offensive Analysis

The New York Mets are 5th in scoring with 4.68 runs per game, 4th in batting average with .258, and 2nd in OPB with .331.

The Milwaukee Brewers are 9th in scoring with 4.52, 22nd in batting average with .235, and 13th in OBP with .316.

Defensive Analysis

The New York Mets pitchers are 7th in ERA with 3.53, 7th in WHIP with 1.19, and their fielders are 6th in errors with 65 on the season so far.

The Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are 16th in ERA with 3.90, 11th in WHIP with 1.23, and their fielders are 19th in errors with 81 on the season so far.
 

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction


Our prediction for Monday, September 21st is… Mets 6 - Brewers 1

Mets pitcher Taijuan Walker is no joke.  No joke at all.  The bet is for the Mets ATS.

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MLB Betting Trends

The Mets are 86-97 in road games the last 3 seasons.
The Brewers are 102-79 in home games the last 3 seasons.

Key Injuries 

Mets: CF S Marte Out ** 3B B Baty Out **

Brewers: LF J Davis Out ** 

Players to Watch 

Mets: RHP Taijuan Walker, 12-4, 3.42 ERA, 111 strikeouts in 142 innings pitched.  1.18 WHIP. It’s a big year for Taijuan Walker.  He is an important piece to the #2 National League team. 

Brewers: RHP Adrian Hauser, 6-9, 4.85 ERA, 66 strikeouts in 94 innings pitched.  1.49 WHIP.  Bad numbers, hobbled career.  This 29 year old is not a lifer.
Starting Lineups
Mets: CF Brandon Nimmo, SS Francisco Lindor, 2B Jeff McNeil, 1B Pete Alonso, RF Tyler Naquin, LF Mark Canha, DH Daniel Volgelback, 3B Eduardo Escobar, C James McCann

Brewers: LF Christian Yelich, SS Willy Adames, 1B Rowdy Tellez, RF Hunter Renfro, 2B Kolten Wong, DH Andrew McCutchen, 3B Jace Peterson, C Victor Caratini, CF Garrett Mitchell

Manager

Mets: Buck “the big show” Showalter
Brewers: Craig “let’s Gooo” Counsell

Weather Forecast 

Sunny, 76*, Humidity 62%, wind 7 mph.  It’s a day before the rain hits… and everyone will be content to get a whiff of the last of the summer breeze… Milwaukee will be cold and covered in snow in no time.  Take advantage of now…now.




James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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