New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/20/2022

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, September 20th, 2022

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Where to Watch: MLB.tv, 

DraftKings: Moneyline:  (will update) prediction still stands

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  

PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

 

Mets: 93-55, 1st place NL East

Brewers: 78-68, 2nd place NL East

Game 2 of this National League Matchup between the Mets and the Brewers.  The Brewers make a promise with their roster that they don’t seem to be able to live up to.  The Mets win at a really great rate, enough to find them 2nd in the National League… 8 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers but still second.  The prediction will be found tonight’s hitting.  The pitching matchup at this time of year starts to get very predictable with the top teams… and they will each have to score off each other in order to get the win.  Easy Peasy.

A National League matchup of the 1st place NL East team against the 2nd place NL Central team.  It is a funny betting line.  Yes, the Mets are favored… but it is as close to a pick’ em as you can get while still favoring somebody.  The Mets have a better record by a full 14 wins… and the Mets have to play in the same division as the Atlanta Braves… who while second in the NL East are still 3 games better than the Cardinals in the NL Central… follow?... It seems the NL Central is the tougher division.  So the Great Betting Opportunity is the almost even odds.. Or we are looking at a lopsided pitching matchup, if Scherzer doesn’t make the start, in favor of the Brewers.  Let’s check the numbers… and the pitching matchup and make a bet worth our time and money.

The New York Mets have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They are easily top-five in batting and easily top-ten in pitching.  They also contributed a bunch of players to this season’s all-star game.  The Mets got bad news recently when Starling Marte landed on the injury list  with a bad finger… his CF spot is not much to worry about but his bat will be missed.  Insane animal pitcher Max Scherzer is listed as probable for Monday after a brief stint for an oblique soreness.  Still this Mets team is loaded and full of pep.  They went 2-0 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 0-3 to the Chicago Cubs, 2-1 against the Miami Marlins, and 2-0 against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  

The Milwaukee Brewers have won 7 of their last 10 games.  With a low team batting average and a low team ERA.. they seem to rise a bit to do well in the other numbers like scoring and WHIP.  This shoestring approach however has a tendency of backfiring.  They spent most of the season as the NL Central’s #1 team until the St Louis Cardinals overtook them.  They went 2-0 against the New York Yankees, 1-1 against the St Louis Cardinals, 2-1 against the Cincinnati Reds, 2-0 against the San Francisco Giants, and 0-1 against the Colorado Rockies during that stretch.  This is a team patiently waiting for a final kick of the season… They have big bats with Christain Yelich, Willy Adames, and Hunter Renfroe.  Will it start?... When will it start?  Are any of the missing pitchers coming back in time for the postseason?

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The New York Mets are 5th in scoring with 4.68 runs per game, 4th in batting average with .258, and 2nd in OPB with .331.

The Milwaukee Brewers are 9th in scoring with 4.52, 22nd in batting average with .235, and 13th in OBP with .316.

The New York Mets pitchers are 7th in ERA with 3.53, 7th in WHIP with 1.19, and their fielders are 6th in errors with 65 on the season so far.

The Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are 16th in ERA with 3.90, 11th in WHIP with 1.23, and their fielders are 19th in errors with 81 on the season so far.

 

Our prediction for Tuesday, September 20th is… Mets 6 - Brewers 3

The bet is for the Mets on the moneyline.  If you have the cojones you could put it ATS.  However the more secure return between two good teams will always be the moneyline.

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The Mets are 86-97 in road games the last 3 seasons.

The Brewers are 102-79 in home games the last 3 seasons.

Mets: CF S Marte Out ** 3B B Baty Out **

Brewers: LF J Davis Out ** 

Mets: RHP Carlos Carrasco, 15-6, 3.70 ERA, 143 strikeouts in 141 innings pitched. 1.29 WHIP. This 35 year old has everything going on right now. 

Brewers: TBD

Mets: CF Brandon Nimmo, SS Francisco Lindor, 2B Jeff McNeil, 1B Pete Alonso, RF Tyler Naquin, LF Mark Canha, DH Daniel Volgelback, 3B Eduardo Escobar, C James McCann

Brewers: LF Christian Yelich, SS Willy Adames, 1B Rowdy Tellez, RF Hunter Renfro, 2B Kolten Wong, DH Andrew McCutchen, 3B Jace Peterson, C Victor Caratini, CF Garrett Mitchell

Mets: Buck “the big show” Showalter

Brewers: Craig “let’s Gooo” Counsell

Sunny, 76*, Humidity 62%, wind 7 mph.  It’s a day before the rain hits… and everyone will be content to get a whiff of the last of the summer breeze… Milwaukee will be cold and covered in snow in no time.  Take advantage of now…now.