New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2022

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 6, 2022

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -135, Reds +115; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -135, Reds +115; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -135, Reds +115; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

 

New York Mets:  50-30 (1st place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  27-52 (5th place, NL Central)

 

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New York Mets:  5-5 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Mets enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 50-30 record overall and have a road record of 24-17. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-1 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Texas Rangers. 

 

The Reds have lost 5 of their last 6 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 27-52 record overall and have a home record of 13-26. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .685 OPS. Nick Lodolo is on the mound on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Graham Ashcraft will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 4.53 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 1 K on 7 hits through 2.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs. 

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Mets have one of the best records in the NL right now and they have been one of the most consistent teams in the MLB all season with plenty of series wins under their belt. The Reds have one of the worst records in the MLB though and this is a series that a team like the Mets need to sweep. The Mets also have the Braves hot on their tail after a very good June for them so the Mets need to start spreading that gap a little more and this is the perfect opportunity to win some games and sweep a series against the Reds here. The Mets have Peterson starting in this game and he has been very good in his starts this season. He has not had many bad starts and will likely pitch well here after being out of the starting rotation for some time. The Mets are getting very healthy again with their pitching staff and that gives them a big advantage as they have been playing so well the last few weeks without some of their best arms. The Reds have a rookie on the mound here in Ashcraft and he has not been great this season, coming off of an awful start in his last appearance where he allowed 7 runs in that game. The Mets have a very good lineup and will get to him for some runs here while the Reds have one of the worst offenses in the MLB, Peterson will be able to close the door on them here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

 

Mets Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 6, 2022 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Mets 5 Reds 2.

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New York Mets: 50-30 (+16 Units) ML in all games. 39-16 (+16.1 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 31-20 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more.

Cincinnati Reds: 27-52 (-18.1 Units) ML in all games. 21-40 (-9.3 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 24-15 OVER in home games.

 

 

New York Mets:  M. Scherzer (SP) Prob Tues - Oblique. C. Bassitt (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Jankowski (RF) Mid July - Hand.

Cincinnati Reds:  T. Naquin (CF) Mid July - Quadricep. A. Garcia (C) Ques Tues - Elbow. K. Farmer (2B) Ques Tues - Hand.

 

 

 

"It's one thing to have Dom back, it's another thing to have him be productive." - Buck Showalter on Dom Smith after his team’s win against the Reds on Monday.

 

 

"We were trying to go outside on Lindor and it leaked back to the middle and he got it. On the previous home run, I threw it right into his bat path. It was a poor slider." - Hunter Greene after their loss against the Mets on Monday.

 

 

 

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B

Mark Canha (R) LF

Dominic Smith (L) DH

Tomas Nido (R) C

 

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Brandon Drury (R) 3B

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Mike Moustakas (L) DH

Albert Almora Jr. (R) RF

Nick Senzel (R) CF

Matt Reynolds (R) SS

Aramis Garcia (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (80)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (22)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (69)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (9)

Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (9)

Saves:  Edwin Diaz (18)

ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)

 

Batting Average:  Tyler Stephenson (.305)

Hits:  Brandon Drury (70)

Home Runs:  Brandon Drury (17)

RBI:  Brandon Drury (45)

Stolen Bases:  Tommy Pham (7)

Wins:  Graham Ashcraft (4)

Saves:  Tony Santillan (4)

ERA:  Connor Overton (1.82)

 

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)