New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/25/2023

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Thursday, May 25, 2023

Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Cubs -115; Over/Under:  NL runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Cubs -115; Over/Under:  NL runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Cubs -115; Over/Under:  NL runs

New York Mets:  25-24 (2nd place, NL East)

Chicago Cubs:  21-26 (3rd place, NL Central)

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New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

Chicago Cubs:  3-7 last 10

The Mets are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but did complete the sweep in a 3-game series over the Cleveland Guardians in their last series. They enter this game with a 25-24 record overall and have a road record of 13-15. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 0-2 with a 8.68 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Cubs are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 21-26 record overall and have a home record of 12-11. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .769 OPS. Marcus Stroman is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jameson Taillon is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 0-3 with a 8.10 ERA this season. His team lost all 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 6 hits through 2.1 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets were really hot before entering this series and were slowed down by a loss to the Cubs on Tuesday, but they have still been really hot over the last week and they are going to be able to put up a ton of runs in this game with this pitching matchup. Taillon is starting for the Cubs here and he has been terrible in his starts this season but the Cubs have also been really bad with him starting as they have lost almost every game he has made an appearance in. Carrasco is starting for the Mets and he has also been giving up a ton of runs this season but he has only made 4 starts and still needs to find his groove so there is plenty of room for him to improve. The Mets have also found success with him on the mound as they won their last 2 games with him starting and have been putting up a ton of runs in those games. The Mets offense will wake up against Taillon here and Carrasco should continue to improve into the season as he finds his rhythm. The Mets will also be looking to win this series or at least salvage it after their loss to the Cubs on Tuesday. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Mets Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 25, 2023 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Mets 8 Cubs 6.

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New York Mets: 88-54 (+19.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 146-103 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. CARLOS CARRASCO is 14-5 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 16-5 OVER against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs: 8-16 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 12-21 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. JAMESON TAILLON is 16-6 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 10-5 OVER in May games.

New York Mets:  J. Quintana (SP) Mid July - Ribs. E. Uceta (RP) Early June - Ankle. J. Yacabonis (RP) Early June - Quadricep. T. Nido (C) Early June - Eye. T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Thumb. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Mid June - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Coonrod (RP) Early June - Back. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Chicago Cubs:  N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Appendix. K. Hendricks (SP) Early June - Shoulder. C. Bellinger (CF) Early June - Knee. A. Sampson (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Boxberger (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Heuer (RP) Early June - Elbow. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“Every season's its own entity, but I mean I do feel really, really good right now. So just need to stay right here where I'm at.” - Pete Alonso after their loss against the Cubs in their game on Tuesday.

“He's a threat. As soon as he steps in the box, he's in scoring position. He hits the ball as hard as anybody.” - David Ross after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Tuesday.

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Starling Marte (R) RF

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Mark Canha (R) LF

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Nico Hoerner (R) 2B

Miles Mastrobuoni (L) 3B

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

Ian Happ (S) LF

Seiya Suzuki (R) RF

Mike Tauchman (L) CF

Christopher Morel (R) DH

Matt Mervis (L) 1B

Tucker Barnhart (L) C

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (56)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (18)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (43)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (12)

Wins:  Tylor Megill (5)

Saves:  David Robertson (8)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Batting Average:  Christopher Morel (.367)

Hits:  Nico Hoerner (50)

Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (12)

RBI:  Patrick Wisdom (23)

Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (12)

Wins:  Justin Steele (6)

Saves:  Brad Boxberger (2)

ERA:  Jeremiah Estrada (0.00)

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)

Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)