New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Aug 05, 2023
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, August 6, 2023
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +124, Orioles -148; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +124, Orioles -148; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +124, Orioles -148; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

New York Mets:  50-59 (4th place, NL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  68-42 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
New York Mets:  4-6 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10



New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Mets are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-59 record overall and have a road record of 24-36. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Tylor Megill is their starting pitcher on Saturday while José Quintana is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-2 with a 3.57 ERA this season. His team lost all 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 6.2 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 68-42 record overall and have a home record of 33-21. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-6 with a 3.32 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.


Mets vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling in their games lately as they have taken over the lead in the AL East and haven't looked back since. Their offense has been rolling in their games while the Mets have been doing the complete opposite this season with a really weak offense and a losing record this year. The Mets have also been struggling a lot in their games lately as they are in the middle of a slump and they don't have the offense to compete with the Orioles. The Mets have Quintana starting here and he has been good in his starts this season, but he did give up 3 runs in his last start and he is going to give up runs here with the way the Orioles have been hitting lately. The Orioles are also going with Bradish in this game and he has been pitching a lot better lately, not giving up as many runs in his starts now. Bradish has been finding his groove while the Mets offense has already been struggling in their games lately and Bradish won't have too much trouble keeping the Mets at bay here while the Orioles offense carries the team yet again in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Mets Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 6, 2023 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Orioles 6 Mets 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Mets: 50-59 (-26.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-36 (-18.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. JOSE QUINTANA is 42-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 and 27-16 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 

Baltimore Orioles: 68-42 (+30 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-12 (+14.6 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 30-19 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 22-13 UNDER against NL East opponents.

Key Injuries


New York Mets:  S. Coonrod (RP) Mid Aug - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Mid Aug - Thumb. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. L. Guillorme (2B) Mid Sept - Ankle. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Santander (RF) Ques Sat - Rest. D. Tate (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. K. Akin (RP) Mid Aug - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Mid Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“We have to play better, and some people that are getting an opportunity have to take advantage of it. Guys like Lindor, they're doing what they can do. We tie that game up there in the sixth, but you know, got some pitching issues.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Friday.


“I'd be lying if I said no.” - James McCann on having extra motivation in their win against the Mets in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Rafael Ortega (L) LF

Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Austin Hays (R) LF
Jordan Westburg (R) 2B
Ryan O'Hearn (L) RF
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
James McCann (R) C
Ryan McKenna (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


New York Mets
Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)
Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (102)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (31)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (77)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (24)
Wins:  Kodai Senga (7)
Saves:  David Robertson (14)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.306)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (109)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (19)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (62)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (25)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (29)
ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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