New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, August 4, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +120, Orioles -142; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +120, Orioles -142; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +120, Orioles -142; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Mets:  50-57 (4th place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  66-42 (1st place, AL East)

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New York Mets:  4-6 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Mets entered their last series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-1. They enter this game with a 50-57 record overall and have a road record of 24-34. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Kansas City Royals still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Thursday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-7 with a 5.92 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Orioles entered their last series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1. They enter this game with a 66-42 record overall and have a home record of 32-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday with the 4th game of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Thursday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday but lost the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Jack Flaherty is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-4 with a 4.66 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling in their games lately as they are leading the AL East at the moment and continue to win games with their solid offense. The Mets have had a terrible season with a losing record and just had to trade away their 2 starters Scherzer and Verlander, but things aren't going to get better for them as they have been struggling so much and are also in the middle of a big slump. Their offense hasn't been great this season either so they are going to have a tough time competing with the Orioles offense in this game, especially when the Mets have Peterson starting who has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts this year. The Orioles offense continues to generate scoring opportunities in their games and they will get guys on base here taking advantage of how bad the Mets pitching has been. The Orioles also have Kremer on the mound here and even though he hasn't been lights out in his starts this season, he still leads this rotation in wins while the team has also had a ton of success in the games he has been starting. He won't give up many runs in this start against a cold Mets offense and the Orioles offense will be able to continue rolling here too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Mets Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 4, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Mets 2.

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New York Mets: 50-57 (-24.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-34 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. DAVID PETERSON is 17-8 OVER in road games and 6-1 OVER when working on 7 or more days rest.

Baltimore Orioles: 66-42 (+27.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-12 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. DEAN KREMER is 13-6 OVER in all games and 8-3 OVER in home games.

New York Mets:  B. Nimmo (LF) Ques Thurs - Quadricep. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid Aug - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Mid Aug - Thumb. S. Marte (CF) Mid Aug - Migraine. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. L. Guillorme (2B) Mid Sept - Ankle. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Baltimore Orioles:  D. Tate (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. K. Akin (RP) Mid Aug - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Mid Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I think some of his velocity was down. It was really sticky. When it started raining, everything was sticking to his spikes. He couldn’t get his spikes in the ground. It was really remarkable that he was able to survive there. A real tribute, a testament to his ability to keep competing.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Wednesday.

“Their pitching was really good tonight. Kikuchi was outstanding and their bullpen guys were lights out. We had a tough time scoring.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

Jeff McNeil (L) RF

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) DH

Mark Vientos (R) 1B

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Jonathan Arauz (S) 2B

Rafael Ortega (L) CF

Danny Mendick (R) LF

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

James McCann (R) C

Ryan McKenna (R) CF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (102)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (31)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (77)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (24)

Wins:  Kodai Senga (7)

Saves:  David Robertson (14)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.306)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (107)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (19)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (62)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (25)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (29)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)