New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/03/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 3, 2021
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  BSSO


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Braves -150; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs

Season Record

New York Mets:  77-83 (3rd place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  86-73 (1st place, NL East)
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New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
New York Mets:  4-6 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game after winning their series opener against the Braves on Friday night. That win put them on a 2 game winning streak and they have now won 4 of their last 5 games. This will be the series finale of their three-game series with the Braves. The 2nd game of this series on Saturday is still to be played with that result pending. Carlos Carrasco was given the nod for their Saturday game while Noah Syndergaard will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season as he missed basically the entire season due to injury. He played in 1 inning last Tuesday back in September and will now get another start in their season finale here. Historically, he has been a solid pitcher in the past few years and he did still manage to get 0 ER and 0 BB with 2 Ks and 0 hits in his 1 inning he played in earlier in the week. Their offense has scored 25 runs in their last 5 games averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 12 runs against them in that same span allowing 3 runs per game.

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game after losing their series opener on Friday against the Mets. That loss snapped a 6 game winning streak that they were on but they have still won 9 of their last 11 games. This will be the series finale with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday, the result pending for that one. There are no starters scheduled for their Saturday game and there are also no decided starting pitchers throwing the first pitch for the Braves in this game on Sunday. They will likely be resting all of their good arms as this is the last game of the season and their playoff matchup is already set to start on Friday. We may just get to see a quality start from one of their rookie pitchers or even see some rookie hitters looking to land their first career HR as this is a good game to get those players some experience. Their offense has scored 17 runs in their last 4 games averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 10 runs against them in that same span allowing over 2 runs per game.


Mets vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are still playing in good form here as they will be looking to hit their full stride in this series knowing that they start their playoff series this week. The Mets have nothing left to play for this season and they cannot even try to spoil the Braves in this game. The Braves are the better team and are in the postseason for a reason. With Syndergaard getting the start in this game it shows that the Mets will be using it as a test game for guys to gain experience in. The best bet to make for bettors in this game is on the Braves to win here.
Mets Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, October 3, 2021 (3:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Mets 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

New York Mets: 77-83 (-21.5 units) on the money line in all games. 30-49 (-22.3 units) on the money line in road games.
Atlanta Braves: 30-21 (+3.2 units) on the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5. 48-32 (+6.9 units) in the second half of the season.

Key Injuries

New York Mets:  D. Peterson (SP) out for season - Toe injury. J. Martinez (LF) out for season - Knee injury. R. Gsellman (RP) Ques Sun - Back injury.
Atlanta Braves:  E. Santana (RP) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury. G. Dayton (RP) Mid Oct - Shoulder injury. T. Davidson (RP) Mid Oct - Forearm injury.

Players to Watch

New York Mets: Pete Alonso is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in hits, homers, and in RBI. His team is out of the playoffs but he keeps racking up the hits each game so look for him to keep playing his best until the end of the season.
Atlanta Braves: Austin Riley is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in batting average and in hits. They will be facing the Brewers in the playoffs so look for him to start getting warmed up in this game and get some good hits here.

Notable Quotes

"Very important. Being able to go out there and throw well and that high that you threw well and you had success going into the offseason knowing that you finished strong. Keep that momentum going through the offseason and get ready for the next." - Tylor Megill on carrying over his good start into the next season after their win against the Braves on Friday.
"He's not a finished product yet. He's still learning, but overall I thought his stuff was good tonight." - Brian Snitker on Huascar Ynoa’s performance in their loss to the Mets on Friday.

Starting Lineups

New York Mets
B. Nimmo CF
F. Lindor SS
J. Baez 2B
P. Alonso 1B
D. Smith LF
J. McCann C
K. Pillar RF
J. Peraza 3B
T. Megill P
Atlanta Braves
J. Pederson RF
E. Adrianza 3B
O. Albies 2B
A. Riley 1B
E. Rosario LF
O. Arcia SS
G. Heredia CF
W. Contreras C
H. Ynoa P

Statistical Leaders (Stats)

New York Mets
Batting Average:  B. Nimmo (.297)
Hits:  P. Alonso (145)
Home Runs:  P. Alonso (37)
RBI:  P. Alonso (93)
Stolen Bases:  J. Baez (18)
Wins:  Marcus Stroman (10)
Saves:  E. Diaz (32)
ERA:  A. Loup (0.95)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  A. Riley (.303)
Hits:  A. Riley (177)
Home Runs:  A. Duvall (38)
RBI:  A. Duvall (112)
Stolen Bases:  O. Albies (20)
Wins:  C. Morton (14)
Saves:  W. Smith (37)
ERA:  L. Jackson (2.01)
New York Mets: Luis Rojas (2nd season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (6th season)

Weather Forecast

77 degrees F showers, 76% humidity, 50% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds NE.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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