New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/02/2022

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Oct 01, 2022
Game Time: 7:08 pm ET, Sunday, October 2, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +120, Braves -140; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +120, Braves -140; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +120, Braves -140; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  98-59 (2nd place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  98-59 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
The Mets lost 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a loss. They split their last series against the Miami Marlins 1-1 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 98-59 record overall and have a road record of 47-32. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 15-8 with a 3.27 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 8 IP against the Oakland Athletics.
 
The Braves won 5 of their last 6 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 98-59 record overall and have a home record of 53-26. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .761 OPS. Kyle Wright is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-6 with a 4.29 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

 

Mets vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have already locked up playoff spots as both have been having great seasons, but this is still a very important series. The Braves and the Mets both have the same record right now and with few games left, these are very important to see who will win the NL East as it is still up for grabs. The Mets were leading the division for a good majority of the year but the Braves have finally caught up and neither of these teams are going to stop playing hard until the division is settled. The Braves have been a lot better lately though, winning a lot of their games over the last few weeks while the Mets have blown their lead over the last week with bad losses to bad teams in their division. They are also at a disadvantage with the starting pitcher matchup in this game and the bats have been a lot more hot for the Braves right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and put themselves in position to win the NL East.
 
Mets Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, October 2, 2022 (7:08 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Mets 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 201-178 (-31.6 Units) ML in all games. 90-100 (-25.2 Units) ML in road games. 19-10 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
Atlanta Braves: 98-59 (+14.8 Units) ML in all games. 53-26 (+11.3 Units) ML in home games. 12-6 OVER after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  B. Baty (3B) Mid Oct - Thumb. S. Marte (CF) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Ruf (1B) 0ut indefinitely - Neck.
Atlanta Braves:  A. Duvall (LF) out for season - Wrist. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. O. Albies (2B) Mid Oct - Hand.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We had some grind there and had an opportunity at the end. We just couldn't get another — they have a good pitching staff. So do we." - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Braves on Friday.
 
 
"To get the first one is huge and just try to build as much momentum off it as possible. To come out fighting and top to bottom did a great job. Arms did great. Just a solid win." - Austin Riley after their win against the Mets on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Mark Canha (R) LF
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Francisco Alvarez (R) DH
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Tomas Nido (R) C
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
William Contreras (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Orlando Arcia (R) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Francisco Lindor (166)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (40)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (131)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (18)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (15)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (31)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Chadwick Tromp (.750)
Hits:  Dansby Swanson (172)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (38)
RBI:  Matt Olson (97)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (28)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (20)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (38)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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