by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Aug 17, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Thursday, August 18, 2022
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: BSSO
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets NL, Braves NL; Over/Under: NL runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets NL, Braves NL; Over/Under: NL runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets NL, Braves NL; Over/Under: NL runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 75-42 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves: 72-46 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
New York Mets: 7-3 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 8-2 last 10
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Mets enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They won their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 75-42 record overall and have a road record of 35-23. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jacob deGrom is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Braves enter this game on an 8 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Miami Marlins 4-0 completing the sweep in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 72-46 record overall and have a home record of 39-22. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Jake Odorizzi is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kyle Wright is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 14-5 with a 3.14 ERA this season. His team won 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have not been listed for this game yet. The Braves have been playing very well recently as they have gone on a long win streak now and are scoring a lot more runs in their games. The Mets have not been playing as well in their last few games as they have been losing more and their offense has not been scoring a lot of runs either. They do have deGrom starting here and he has been very good in his 3 starts this season but the Braves have been very hot and even if he pitches a great game here, he is on a pitch count and the Braves will find ways to score in this game once he is out of the game by the 5th inning. Wright is starting for the Braves here and he has also been very good this season as he does not allow many runs in his starts and this Mets offense has been awful recently. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game as they are just the hotter team playing way better right now.
Mets Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 18, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Mets 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 75-42 (+21.5 Units) ML in all games. 35-23 (+7.6 Units) ML in road games. 26-16 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Atlanta Braves: 13-20 (-7.7 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-4 OVER this season in August games. 31-16 OVER against division opponents.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: T. Megill (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. T. Hunter (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Reid-Foley (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Atlanta Braves: E. Adrianza (LF) Late Aug - Illness. O. Arcia (SS) Mid Sept - Hamstring. O. Albies (2B) Early Sept - Foot.
Notable Quotes
"I tried to bend over. When I tried to come back up, it just locked up on me. I've never had anything like this before. The training staff is not too concerned about it. So I'll get an MRI tomorrow and kind of see how I feel." - Taijuan Walker after their loss against the Braves on Tuesday.
"You're going to have series that don't go your way. There's nothing you can do about it. Just fight through it." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Tyler Naquin (L) LF
Deven Marrero (R) 3B
Michael Perez (L) C
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
William Contreras (R) DH
Vaughn Grissom (R) 2B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Robbie Grossman (S) LF
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits: Pete Alonso (120)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (29)
RBI: Pete Alonso (97)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (15)
Wins: Carlos Carrasco (13)
Saves: Edwin Diaz (27)
ERA: Edwin Diaz (1.33)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Chadwick Tromp (.750)
Hits: Dansby Swanson (135)
Home Runs: Austin Riley (30)
RBI: Matt Olson (79)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (25)
Wins: Kyle Wright (14)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (27)
ERA: William Woods (0.00)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
