New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/17/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Aug 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Wednesday, August 17, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  BSSO

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -120, Braves +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -120, Braves +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -120, Braves +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  75-41 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  71-46 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Mets:  8-2 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
The Mets were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 75-41 record overall and have a road record of 35-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-2 with a 1.93 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 9 hits through 7 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies. 
 
The Braves enter this game on a 7 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Miami Marlins 4-0 completing the sweep in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 71-46 record overall and have a home record of 38-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .763 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jake Odorizzi is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-4 with a 3.80 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 4 IP against the Miami Marlins. 

 

Mets vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Mets have been playing very well in their games recently. They have been winning a lot of games as they have been keeping their lead in the NL East, but the Braves have also been winning a lot of their games recently and are closing in on the Mets for 1st place again. The Mets just won a series against the Braves last week though, and they have won their last 2 series against the Braves as they have been very good against division opponents this season. They also have Scherzer starting here and he has been solid in all of his starts this season, rarely having a bad start and even when he does he does not allow more than 4 runs in the game. He rarely allows more than 1 run in his starts and he will be able to shut down this Braves offense here. The Braves have Odorizzi starting here and he has been good this season as well, but he has not been that great in a lot of his starts and he is definitely no Scherzer which gives the Mets a big advantage in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
 
Mets Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 17, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 75-41 (+22.5 Units) ML in all games. 35-22 (+8.6 Units) ML in road games. 26-19 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175.
Atlanta Braves: 8-15 (-6.1 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 8-3 OVER this season in August games. 31-15 OVER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  T. Megill (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. T. Hunter (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Reid-Foley (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Atlanta Braves:  E. Adrianza (LF) Late Aug - Illness. O. Arcia (SS) Mid Sept - Hamstring. O. Albies (2B) Early Sept - Foot.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're just going to wait to see how I feel tomorrow and go from there. This is my first time that I've felt something like this. It just happened on the last pitch of the game." - Carlos Carrasco after their loss against the Braves on Monday.
 
 
"We've been seeing it coming the last couple of weeks. He's been getting better, better and better. You can see him getting his feet on the ground here now." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
James McCann (R) C
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
William Contreras (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Vaughn Grissom (R) 2B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Pete Alonso (119)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (29)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (97)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (15)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (13)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (27)
ERA:  Edwin Diaz (1.33)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Chadwick Tromp (.750)
Hits:  Dansby Swanson (134)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (30)
RBI:  Matt Olson (76)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (25)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (14)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (27)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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