New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 11, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, July 12, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  BSSO

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +135, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +135, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +135, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  53-33 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  52-35 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
The Mets lost 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a loss. They split their last series against the Miami Marlins 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 53-33 record overall and have a road record of 25-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Monday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-1 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 5 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 3.2 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. 
 
The Braves enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 52-35 record overall and have a home record of 30-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Tuesday with the 1st game still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .761 OPS. Max Fried is on the mound on Monday while Spencer Strider will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 12 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the St. Louis Cardinals. 

 

Mets vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game. They have been playing very well in their recent games as they just swept the Nationals in their last series and they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB since the start of June. They have been hitting well and they have been pitching well which makes them a very tough team to beat and they are very close to overtaking the Mets in the NL East so they will be focused on winning this series and making that happen. The Mets have Peterson starting here and he has been good this season but he does not get many starts and has really been filling in for some of these injuries to their starters. The Mets have also not been hitting the ball very well in recent games and that is going to be trouble against the Braves here. The bats for the Braves are still hot and they also have Strider starting in this game who has been nasty with his pitches all season, striking out a heavy number of batters in each start he makes. That is going to be a problem for a Mets team that has not been hitting well and the Braves will likely clean up at home here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Mets Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 12, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 156-152 (-26.2 Units) ML in all games. 68-86 (-25.2 Units) ML in road games. 23-16 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
Atlanta Braves: 194-142 (+18 Units) ML in all games. 145-79 (+22.3 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 21-12 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  S. Marte (CF) Ques Mon - Groin. J. McCann (C) Out indefinitely - Oblique. T. Jankowski (RF) Ques Mon - Hand.
Atlanta Braves:  A. Duvall (LF) Out indefinitely - Personal. O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I said before the game, in order to compete with a starter like that, you've got to get a good start out of your starter, and we certainly did. He matched him. That was fun to watch. He knows what's going on and what's required to compete in a game like that." - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Marlins on Sunday.
 
 
"It's hard to win a major league game against anybody. We've got to keep doing what we're doing." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Nationals on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) DH
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
Dominic Smith (L) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Tomas Nido (R) C
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
William Contreras (R) C
Orlando Arcia (R) 2B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Starling Marte (87)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (23)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (70)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (10)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (9)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (18)
ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Dansby Swanson (.302)
Hits:  Dansby Swanson (101)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (23)
RBI:  Austin Riley (56)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (17)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (10)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (20)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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