by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jun 07, 2023
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Thursday, June 8, 2023
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets +150, Braves -175; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets +150, Braves -175; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets +150, Braves -175; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 30-31 (3rd place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves: 36-24 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
New York Mets: 4-6 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 5-5 last 10
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Mets are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-31 record overall and have a road record of 15-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.
The Braves are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-24 record overall and have a home record of 16-14. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .792 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-2 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Arizona D-Backs.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves are starting to get hot after going through a bit of a slump over the last week. They have won 3 games in a row now and are starting to play like the team that is leading the NL East. The Mets haven't been playing great though as they are barely getting over the .500 mark this season and they have been in their own slump these last few games. They do have a reliable starter here with Verlander pitching but he hasn't been himself this season and also got a later start to the season due to injury. Strider is up for the Braves and he has been pitching great this year as he has some really good pitches and the team has also been finding success with him on the mound. This is a big series for both teams as these are the two teams expected to fight for this division but right now the Braves have a big lead over the Mets and will be looking to keep that lead and get ahead even more with a series win at home here. The Braves have a good pitching matchup here and their offense has also been a lot better than the Mets this season, they will continue rolling here like they have started to do again while the Mets are still slumping. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
Mets Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 8, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 30-31 (-13 units) on the moneyline in all games. 15-19 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 10-3 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Atlanta Braves: 107-67 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 59-32 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 18-9 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 19-10 OVER in home games.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. E. Uceta (RP) Mid June - Ankle. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Atlanta Braves: M. Tonkin (SP) Mid July - Neck. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“We know they're going to be a competitive club all year and we're trying to be the same.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.
“That's huge when something like that happens and you don't let it get away from you.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Starling Marte (R) RF
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 2B
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Sean Murphy (R) C
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (66)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (22)
RBI: Pete Alonso (49)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (17)
Wins: Tylor Megill (5)
Saves: David Robertson (10)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuna (.329)
Hits: Ronald Acuna (79)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (17)
RBI: Matt Olson (43)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (26)
Wins: Spencer Strider (6)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (8)
ERA: Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
