by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 06, 2023
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Wednesday, June 7, 2023
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: BSSO
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets +105, Braves -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets +105, Braves -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets +105, Braves -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 30-30 (3rd place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves: 35-24 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
New York Mets: 5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 5-5 last 10
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Mets are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-30 record overall and have a road record of 15-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-2 with a 3.21 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Braves are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-24 record overall and have a home record of 15-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .791 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-6 with a 3.62 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings played against the Arizona D-Backs.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been playing well in their games lately as they were just swept by the Blue Jays in their last series but this is a series against a division rival now and they are going to give a little more effort here since they are chasing down the Braves for the division lead. Despite getting swept in their last series, the Mets pitched really well and were in every game with a chance to win it. Now they have Scherzer starting here and he has been pitching really well in all his starts since coming back from his suspension earlier this season. He is pitching like he has something to prove and he is going to bring his best effort for this game against a division rival. The Braves may be leading the division at the moment but they haven't been great themselves over the past week and the Mets are going to be looking to take advantage of them here while they are not playing at their best. Morton hasn't been a solid starter either as he has been really up and down and he could give the Mets offense the spark they need here while Scherzer keeps them in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game and get a much needed bounce back.
Mets Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 7, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 30-30 (-12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 15-18 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 10-3 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. MAX SCHERZER is 11-4 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Atlanta Braves: 106-67 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 59-32 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 18-8 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 19-9 OVER in home games.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. E. Uceta (RP) Mid June - Ankle. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Prob Tues - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Atlanta Braves: M. Tonkin (SP) Mid June - Neck. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“I guess as of right now we’re a .500 ballclub. They’re a really good team over there. We were in every single one of these games. We had a chance to win all of them. So it’s frustrating, but we've got to come back and play our best and win ballgames.” - Pete Alonso after their loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.
“I liked how we hung around in that game. That showed the kind of mettle we have and what these guys are made of.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the D-Backs in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Tommy Pham (R) CF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (66)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (21)
RBI: Pete Alonso (47)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (17)
Wins: Tylor Megill (5)
Saves: David Robertson (10)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuna (.331)
Hits: Ronald Acuna (78)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (17)
RBI: Matt Olson (43)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (26)
Wins: Spencer Strider (6)
Saves: A.J. Minter (7)
ERA: Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
