by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jun 05, 2023
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, June 6, 2023
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets +140, Braves -165; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets +140, Braves -165; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets +140, Braves -165; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 30-30 (3rd place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves: 35-24 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
New York Mets: 5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 5-5 last 10
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Mets are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-30 record overall and have a road record of 15-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Kodai Senga was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Braves are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-24 record overall and have a home record of 15-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .791 OPS. Michael Soroka was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-0 with a 1.92 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 7.1 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves haven't been playing well in their games lately as they entered a bit of a slump but they are still leading the NL East and just won their series over the weekend which got them back on track to playing well. They will use that series win to propel themselves forward and now they have a big series against a division rival that could be challenging them for the division by the end of the season. The Mets haven't been playing well lately though as they were just swept at home by the Blue Jays in their last series and the Braves will use this series to take advantage of their division rival in their slump and try to gain some ground in the NL East here. Elder is up for the Braves too and he has been great this season, not giving up many runs in his starts. Carrasco hasn't been as good for the Mets though, he has been pitching well lately but he has still given up quite a few runs in a lot of his starts and the Braves have one of the best offenses in the MLB too while the Mets have been struggling on offense all season. These two teams are traveling in different directions right now with the Mets starting to slump while the Braves are breaking out of their funk. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
Mets Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 6, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 30-30 (-12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 15-18 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 26-18 OVER after 6 or more consecutive home games. 7-3 OVER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span.
Atlanta Braves: 106-67 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 113-54 (+11.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 18-8 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 19-9 OVER in home games.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. E. Uceta (RP) Mid June - Ankle. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Mid June - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Atlanta Braves: M. Tonkin (SP) Mid June - Neck. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Late June - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“I guess as of right now we’re a .500 ballclub. They’re a really good team over there. We were in every single one of these games. We had a chance to win all of them. So it’s frustrating, but we've got to come back and play our best and win ballgames.” - Pete Alonso after their loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.
“I liked how we hung around in that game. That showed the kind of mettle we have and what these guys are made of.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the D-Backs in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Tommy Pham (R) CF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (66)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (21)
RBI: Pete Alonso (47)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (17)
Wins: Tylor Megill (5)
Saves: David Robertson (10)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuna (.331)
Hits: Ronald Acuna (78)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (17)
RBI: Matt Olson (43)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (26)
Wins: Spencer Strider (6)
Saves: A.J. Minter (7)
ERA: Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
