New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/05/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Dec 04, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, December 5, 2023
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  12-7 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  14-6 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  7-3 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  8-2 last 10


New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 12-7 record overall and they are 6-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Detroit Pistons, and the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 22 while Donte DiVincenzo was next on the team with 21 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 105.5 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 10-7-2 this season and their O/U record is 9-10.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 14-6 record overall and they are 9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 32 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 25 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis Jr. each led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 59.6% from the field, 42.4% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 8-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-7.


Knicks vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game counts as a regular season game but will also serve as one of the quarter-final games for the NBA In-Season Tournament. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 14-6 record overall which has them right near the top of the Eastern Conference. They have also looked really good in their home games with their 9-1 home record and a lot of those wins have been in blowouts too. The Knicks have also looked good this season with their 12-7 record overall and they haven't been bad in their road games either with their 6-4 road record. They have some momentum too since they are fully healthy with 3 wins in a row but the Bucks are still one of the best teams in the NBA and now that they have the home advantage here in the knockouts of the In-Season Tournament, they will be looking to put on a show so they can advance with no issues. The Knicks may have won 3 games in a row but the Bucks bounced back in their last game with a nice double digit win at home against the Hawks and they will be looking to do the same here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, December 5, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Bucks 119 Knicks 111.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 9-2 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 10-5 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. 7-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 5-2 OVER after a win by 10 points or more. 

Milwaukee Bucks: 3-6 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 3-7 ATS as a home favorite. 6-14 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 13-7 OVER in all games. 28-15 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 7-2 OVER after playing a home game.

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  None.

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Connaughton (SG) Ques Tues - Ankle. A. Jackson Jr. (SG) Ques Tues - Back. J. Crowder (SF) Mid Jan - Groin.


Notable Quotes


“Once we got our defense going, I loved the way we played offensively. I thought we really shared the ball, made plays for each other and really played well as a team. It was great to see.” - Tom Thibodeau after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Friday.


“I think Bobby in the first half and Cam in the second half, those guys were terrific. Cam is a veteran point guard and he showed it tonight. I thought he had great command of our offense and getting us in our sets.” - Adrian Griffin after his team’s win against the Hawks in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Quentin Grimes
SF RJ Barrett
PF Julius Randle
C Mitchell Robinson

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (24.9)
APG: J. Brunson (5.5)
Reb/G: M. Robinson (10.7)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (29.9)
APG: D. Lillard (6.9)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (10.8)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (4th season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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