New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 11, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, May 12, 2023
Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  209 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +5, Heat -5; Over/Under:  208.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  208.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  47-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Miami Heat:  44-38 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a MASSIVE 13-4-1 NBA RUN! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
New York Knicks:  6-4 last 10
Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10


New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis


The Knicks finished the regular season with a 47-35 record overall and they were 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Miami Heat in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 38 while RJ Barrett was next on the team with 26 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Mitchell Robinson led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.3% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 72.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 49-39-4 this season and their O/U record is 46-44-2.



The Heat finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 27-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the New York Knicks in their last games. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 19 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 18 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 42% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 39-52-3 this season and their O/U record is 49-45.


Knicks vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 5th seeded Knicks and the 8th seeded Heat for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Heat are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after losing game 5 on the road in New York. The Heat still have a big advantage in this series though as they have a chance to end it on their home court here and they have really been the better team in every game of this series. Both of these teams play well on the defensive end but the defense has been much better for the Heat as the Knicks have struggled to score more in these games. The Heat have been a really good home team this year and they have been playing some of their best basketball over these last few weeks coming into the playoffs. The Knicks did a good job to extend this series on their home court but they don't have enough talent to keep the Heat at bay here and they have already lost both games in Miami in this series. The Heat are the stronger team and don't want this game going back to New York for a game 7, they will end this series on their home court here while they still have a chance. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game.

Knicks Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 12, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 108 Knicks 98.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this New York Knicks Miami Heat prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 28-17 ATS in road games. 30-19 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 16-10 OVER off a home win. 25-16 OVER after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than the opponent.

Miami Heat: 12-22 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 15-23 ATS as a home favorite. 31-19 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 6-0 OVER when leading in a playoff series.

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  I. Quickley (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle. E. Fournier (SG) Ques Fri - Illness. T. Keels (SG) Out Indefinitely - Illness. I. Roby (SF) Out Indefinitely - Ankle. J. Sims (C) out for season - Shoulder. D. Washington Jr. (PG) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Miami Heat:  V. Oladipo (SG) out for season - Knee. T. Herro (SG) Early June - Hand.


Notable Quotes


“We’ll see what Game 6 brings. If it requires them to do that, then I’m not afraid to do it.” - Tom Thibodeau after his team’s win against the Heat in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.


“You have to respect him as a competitor and then find a way to get the job done. And he was able to get the job done, make those big, important plays.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Knicks in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Quentin Grimes
SF RJ Barrett
PF Julius Randle
C Mitchell Robinson

Miami Heat
PG Gabe Vincent
SG Max Strus
SF Jimmy Butler
PF Kevin Love
C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Randle (25.1)
APG: J. Brunson (6.2)
Reb/G: J. Randle (10)

Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (22.9)
APG: J. Butler (5.3)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.2)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (3rd season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.