New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/08/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, May 8, 2023

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  206 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  206 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  206.5 points

New York Knicks:  47-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Miami Heat:  44-38 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a MASSIVE 11-3 NBA RUN! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

New York Knicks:  5-5 last 10

Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10

The Knicks finished the regular season with a 47-35 record overall and they were 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Miami Heat in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 20 while Josh Hart was next on the team with 15 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 34.1% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 48-38-4 this season and their O/U record is 44-44-2.

The Heat finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 27-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the New York Knicks in their last games. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 28 while Max Strus was next on the team with 19 points. Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, and Kyle Lowry each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 38.9% from the field, 21.9% from 3-point range, and 90.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 38-51-3 this season and their O/U record is 47-45.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 5th seeded Knicks and the 8th seeded Heat for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Heat are entering this game with a 2-1 series lead after taking the 1st of their home games in this series and they have looked like the better team in every game so far. They have been the much better team in their 2 wins and even in their 1 loss it was on the road in New York and they almost won that game while missing Jimmy Butler in their lineup. Now that Butler is back playing at home, the Heat are going to be too much for the Knicks in this series as they have been playing some of their best basketball over these last few weeks. The Heat have the defensive abilities to match the Knicks but their offense is also a lot better and it has shown in these first 3 games of the series. The Heat have won every game at home in the playoffs this year and that is not going to stop now that they have a chance to go up 3-1 on their home court and put all the pressure on the Knicks going back home where they have actually been a worse team this season compared to being on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game.

Knicks Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 8, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 110 Knicks 95.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this New York Knicks Miami Heat prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

New York Knicks: 28-16 ATS in road games. 7-0 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 26-17 UNDER as an underdog. 7-1 UNDER in all playoff games.

Miami Heat: 14-23 ATS as a home favorite. 11-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 11-6 UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or less. 19-11 UNDER after scoring 105 points or less.

New York Knicks:  I. Quickley (SG) Ques Mon - Ankle. T. Keels (SG) Out Indefinitely - Illness. I. Roby (SF) Out Indefinitely - Ankle. J. Sims (C) out for season - Shoulder. D. Washington Jr. (PG) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Miami Heat:  U. Haslem (PF) Ques Mon - Illness. V. Oladipo (SG) out for season - Knee. T. Herro (SG) Early June - Hand.

“Hopefully we can get back on the right track and find a way to make some shots next game and come out with a win.” - Julius Randle after their loss against the Heat in their game on Saturday, game 3 of this series.

“You've got to win games different ways. In the playoffs, like I've said many a time and for many years now, every game is seriously different. And this is one of those games where we held them down. ... To win by half a point, one point, two points, 20 points, it's about winning the game however it happens.” - Kyle Lowry after their win against the Knicks in their game on Saturday, game 3 of this series.

PG Jalen Brunson

SG RJ Barrett

SF Josh Hart

PF Julius Randle

C Mitchell Robinson

PG Gabe Vincent

SG Max Strus

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Kevin Love

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: J. Randle (25.1)

APG: J. Brunson (6.2)

Reb/G: J. Randle (10)

PPG: J. Butler (22.9)

APG: J. Butler (5.3)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.2)

Coaches:

New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (3rd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)