New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/02/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 01, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 4, 2024
Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 
Where to Watch:  BSSUN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +2.5, Heat -2.5; Over/Under:  206 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +2.5, Heat -2.5; Over/Under:  206 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +2.5, Heat -2.5; Over/Under:  206 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  44-30 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Miami Heat:  41-33 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  7-3 last 10
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10


New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 44-30 record overall and they are 20-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the San Antonio Spurs and the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 30 while Miles McBride was next on the team with 19 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Josh Hart led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 41.3% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 67.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 39-32-3 this season and their O/U record is 30-44.



The Heat are entering this game with a 41-33 record overall and they are 19-17 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers and the Washington Wizards in their last game. Terry Rozier led the team in points in that game with 27 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 22 points. Bam Adebayo led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 49.4% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 86.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 35-37-2 this season and their O/U record is 28-46.


Knicks vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Knicks listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Knicks have looked really good in their games this season with their 44-30 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot right now. They have looked good in their road games too with their 20-16 road record. The Knicks were going through a bit of a rough patch but they have looked a lot better in their games lately as they have been getting healthier now. Meanwhile, the Heat have also looked good in their games this season with their 41-33 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They are just a half game out of a true playoff spot in the East but they have also been really up and down lately as they have been up and down in the standings, in and out of the playoff spots. They haven't looked bad on their home court this season too but they haven't been great in those games with their 19-17 home record. They have looked a lot better lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they do have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now, but both of those wins also came against 2 really bad teams in the NBA. The Knicks are only 6-4 in their last 10 games as they haven't been as hot lately, and they also have 2 losses in a row now, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately as they have been getting healthier and they will be looking to bounce back here after a bad loss to the Spurs, one of the worst teams in the NBA, followed by a tough loss against the Thunder, one of the best teams in the NBA. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knicks to cover the spread in this game.

Knicks Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 4, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Knicks 112 Heat 104.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 13-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 19-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 9-1 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 6-1 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 23-16 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

Miami Heat: 14-22 ATS in home games. 3-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 16-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 16-5 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins. 26-9 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  M. Robinson (C) Ques Tues - Ankle. O. Anunoby (SF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Randle (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Miami Heat:  C. Martin (SF) Ques Tues - Ankle. T. Herro (SG) Early April - Knee. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It hurts. We've (had) two games where we had great shots. That's kind of the more disappointing thing.” - Isaiah Hartenstein after their loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Sunday.


“We're going for it. That's who we are. And if we see opportunity in front of us, that's what we're going for.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Donte DiVincenzo
SF Josh Hart
PF Precious Achiuwa
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Miami Heat
PG Terry Rozier
SG Duncan Robinson
SF Jimmy Butler
PF Nikola Jovic
C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (27.9)
APG: J. Brunson (6.5)
Reb/G: M. Robinson (10)

Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21)
APG: T. Rozier (5.8)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.7)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (4th season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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