New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 21, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 22, 2023
Venue:  Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +1.5, Heat -1.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +1.5, Heat -1.5; Over/Under:  223 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +1.5, Heat -1.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  42-31 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Miami Heat:  39-34 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  6-4 last 10
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10


New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are coming into this game with a 42-31 record overall and they are 22-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 57 while Jalen Brunson was next on the team with 23 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Mitchell Robinson led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 56.5% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.6 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 40-30-3 this season and their O/U record is 37-34-2.



The Heat are coming into this game with a 39-34 record overall and they are 24-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 26 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 22 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.1% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 92% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 26-44-3 this season and their O/U record is 34-39.


Knicks vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Knicks listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Knicks are 42-31 overall this season and have been having a much better season than they were having last year. They have also been a much better road team with their 22-14 road record and have been really hot in their games lately. They just lost to the Timberwolves at home in their last game though so they will be looking to bounce back here and they have excelled more in their road games so this is a great spot for them against a team that hasn't been that great. The Heat are only 39-34 overall this season and their last win was against the Pistons who haven't been good this year. The Heat have been good at home with their 24-13 home record but they have also been one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA this season. They are barely favored in this game and for good reason with the Knicks being so hot lately and looking to bounce back in a road game where they have been a lot better all year. The Knicks will continue to play well here and find a way to win this game on the road like they have been doing lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knicks to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 22, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Knicks 111 Heat 99.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this New York Knicks Miami Heat prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 54-30 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 58-35 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 20-10 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more.
Miami Heat: 16-33 ATS as a favorite. 11-24 ATS in home games. 15-6 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  None.
Miami Heat:  C. Zeller (PF) Ques Wed - Nose.


Notable Quotes


“Jalen (Brunson) got a defensive stop, we’re down three, it’s my job to come up with that rebound, 14 seconds left. If we do that, we have a chance to win the game — or not win the game, but at least tie the game. So I didn’t get the job done.” - Julius Randle after their loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Monday.


“This is going to be our March Madness and April Madness. The opportunity is right in front of us, and that's all you can ask for at this part of the season. We are going to have to fight for it -- that's what this is all about.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Sunday. 


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Quentin Grimes
SF RJ Barrett
PF Julius Randle
C Mitchell Robinson

Miami Heat
PG Gabe Vincent
SG Tyler Herro
SF Jimmy Butler 
PF Kevin Love
C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Randle (25.6)
APG: J. Brunson (6.2)
Reb/G: J. Randle (10.2)

Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (22.7)
APG: K. Lowry (5.2)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.4)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (3rd season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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