New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/15/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jan 14, 2026
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 15, 2026
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 
Where to Watch:  Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  25-14 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Golden State Warriors:  22-19 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10


New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 25-14 record overall this season and they are 8-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Portland Trail Blazers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Sacramento Kings still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Trail Blazers, Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 26 while OG Anunoby was next on the team with 24 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50.5% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.9 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 21-19 this season and their O/U record is 23-17.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 22-19 record overall this season and they are 14-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Portland Trail Blazers. De'Anthony Melton led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 16 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.2% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 19-22 this season and their O/U record is 23-18.


Knicks vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 22-19 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West at the moment. They have looked great on their home court though with their 14-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Knicks have looked great in their games this season with their 25-14 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They haven't been a good road team though with their 8-10 road record this year. The Knicks are off a win over the Trail Blazers in their last one, but they haven't looked that great lately. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have definitely cooled off from how good they were playing when they won the NBA Cup. They have already struggled in road games this season, and they aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on the road on a back-to-back. The Warriors are also off a win over the Trail Blazers in their last one, and they have looked a little better in their games lately, going 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Warriors have been a really up and down team for most of the season and they are fighting to get themselves higher in the West in an actual playoff spot, but they have looked like a completely different team in their home games. They have been rolling over opponents in their home games lately, so look for the Warriors to do the same here against a Knicks team that is in a bad situation and has been terrible on the road all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 15, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 116 Knicks 108.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 7-4 ATS on the road against Pacific division opponents. 22-16 ATS on the road when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 19-11 ATS on the road when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 8-4 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Golden State Warriors: 4-9 ATS off a home win. 4-8 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 5-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 6-2 OVER after allowing 100 points or less.

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  L. Shamet (SG) Out - Shoulder.

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (SG) Out - Thigh.


Notable Quotes


“I’ve said this before: It’s not all on KAT to adjust to and adapt to what we must do. He’s had the hardest adjustment period because he’s had to learn the most. In the same breath, I have to make sure that I help him by simplifying what we do and making sure I’m putting him in the right spots and then he’s got to do the things necessary to help out, as well.” - Mike Brown on KAT this season. 


“Mediocre. The worst place to be is to be mediocre.” - Jimmy Butler on the Warriors this season. 


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Josh Hart
SF Mikal Bridges
PF OG Anunoby
C Karl-Anthony Towns

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Moses Moody
SF Jimmy Butler III
PF Draymond Green 
C Quinten Post

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: Jalen Brunson (28.9)
APG: Jalen Brunson (6.3)
Reb/G: Karl-Anthony Towns (11.4)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: Stephen Curry (28.1)
APG: Draymond Green (5.3)
Reb/G: Jonathan Kuminga (6.2)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Mike Brown (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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