New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 21, 2024
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +8.5, Nuggets -8.5; Over/Under:  210 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +8.5, Nuggets -8.5; Over/Under:  210 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +8.5, Nuggets -8.5; Over/Under:  210 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  41-27 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Denver Nuggets:  48-21 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  6-4 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10


New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 41-27 record overall and they are 19-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Sacramento Kings, and the Golden State Warriors in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 34 while Miles McBride was next on the team with 29 points. Josh Hart led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Josh Hart led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.4% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 35-30-3 this season and their O/U record is 25-43.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 48-21 record overall and they are 27-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 26 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 51.9% from the field, 51.9% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 31-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 27-42.


Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 48-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA right now. They have also looked really good on their home court this year with their 27-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Knicks have also looked good in their games this season with their 41-27 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot right now. They have looked good in their road games with their 19-14 road record but they haven't been at their best in those games. They have also been dealing with a lot of injuries to key players over the last few weeks and it has affected how good they have been on the court. They have looked a lot better in their games lately with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games and they also have a lot of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. As good as they have been during this streak, they are still going to be banged up in this game and they just don't have the talent right now to compete at the same level as the Nuggets who have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season. The Nuggets are also the hotter team coming into this one with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and they are going to have their own momentum here from a win against the Timberwolves in their last one, gaining a game on them in the standings. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Knicks Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 21, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 122 Knicks 98.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 17-6 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 22-14 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 22-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. 12-6 UNDER off a road win. 23-12 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread. 

Denver Nuggets: 5-10 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 3-8 ATS off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 3-13 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 22-13 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-1 UNDER off a road win against a division rival. 15-2 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  O. Anunoby (SF) Ques Thurs - Elbow. J. Randle (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Robinson (C) Mid April - Ankle.

Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Ques Thurs - Back. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“This team has demonstrated all year there’s a lot of fight, a lot of heart, a lot of toughness and a lot of togetherness to the group. So there’s a belief that we can win. We always talk about our defense, our rebounding, taking care of the ball. I thought we shared the ball extremely well tonight." - Tom Thibodeau after his team’s win against the Warriors in their game on Monday.


“You have to put teams away. That’s something we really have to get better at.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Donte DiVincenzo
SF Josh Hart
PF OG Anunoby
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (27.6)
APG: J. Brunson (6.4)
Reb/G: M. Robinson (10.3)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (26)
APG: N. Jokic (9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (4th season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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