New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 05, 2026
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, March 6, 2026
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  MSG, ALT2, KTVD, KUSA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +1.5, Nuggets -1.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +1.5, Nuggets -1.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks -1.5, Nuggets +1.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  40-23 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Denver Nuggets:  38-24 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  6-4 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10


New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 40-23 record overall this season and they are 16-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in points in that game with 17 while OG Anunoby and Jalen Brunson each were next on the team with 16 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 42% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.7 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 35-29 this season and their O/U record is 30-34.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 38-24 record overall this season and they are 16-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Jazz, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Los Angeles Lakers still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Jazz, Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 45 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 22 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 54.1% from the field, 41% from 3-point range, and 91.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 34-28 this season and their O/U record is 39-23.


Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Knicks listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Knicks have looked great in their games this season with their 40-23 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the NBA. They have been a good road team too with their 16-14 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-24 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 16-12 home record this season. The Nuggets are off a win over the Jazz in their last one, but they have been a better road team than they have been a home team this year and they haven't been at their best lately either. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a tough game against the Lakers the night before. The Knicks haven't been rolling lately, but they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have been one of the best teams in the East all season. They are off a loss to the Thunder in their last one, but they went toe-to-toe with the best team in the NBA and almost pulled off the upset, losing by 3 points in the end. The Knicks will be looking to bounce back in this one though as they have looked a lot better in their games lately and they have the talent to take advantage of the Nuggets in a bad situation here. Look for the Knicks to bounce back after a tight loss to the Thunder and get back on track with the Nuggets on a back-to-back and not playing their best at home this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knicks to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 6, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Knicks 112 Nuggets 108.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 16-10 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 28-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 26-17 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 9-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Denver Nuggets: 20-31 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 23-30 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 2-8 ATS at home versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 8-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  M. Robinson (C) Day To Day - Injury Management. M. McBride (PG) Out - Ankle.

Denver Nuggets:  C. Johnson (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. S. Jones (SF) Out - Shoulder. A. Gordon (PF) Out - Hamstring. P. Watson (SF) Out - Hamstring.


Notable Quotes


"SGA is a tough cover, and he does a great job of convincing the referees, probably better than anybody in the league, that he's getting hit. And them shooting 84% from the free throw line compared to our 73% was a factor throughout the course of the game.” - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Wednesday.


"He just carried us. He really did. He was the guy that had legs tonight. Tough shot making. We tried to get him into certain combinations where he had matchups that he liked, and Nikola was being guarded by three people, so it was Jamal's night." - David Adelman on Jamal Murray after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Josh Hart
SF Mikal Bridges
PF OG Anunoby
C Karl-Anthony Towns

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Tim Hardaway Jr.
PF Cameron Johnson
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: Jalen Brunson (26.5)
APG: Jalen Brunson (6.3)
Reb/G: Karl-Anthony Towns (11.8)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: Nikola Jokic (28.7)
APG: Nikola Jokic (10.3)
Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (12.6)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Mike Brown (1st season)
Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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