by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 11, 2025
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, November 13, 2025
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +11.5, Patriots -11.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +11.5, Patriots -11.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +11.5, Patriots -11.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 2-7 (4th place, AFC East)
New England Patriots: 8-2 (1st place, AFC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 10-3 NFL RUN for +$6,730 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
New York Jets: won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 27-20.
New England Patriots: won their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-23.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 27-20. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 6/11 passes for 54 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 83. Breece Hall led the receivers with 42 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Tony Adams led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Will McDonald IV led the defense in sacks with 4. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Patriots are entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-23. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 16/31 passes for 270 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 147 and 2 TDs. Mack Hollins led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jack Gibbens led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while K'Lavon Chaisson and Elijah Ponder each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Jets vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked great in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC East with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They haven't looked as good on their home field this year with their 3-2 home record, but they have been rolling in their games lately with 7 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-7 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They went the longest without picking up a win this season and now they have won 2 games in a row. They are off a 27-20 win over the Browns in their last one and their offense has looked a lot better in their last 2 games, but they have also been playing against some of the worst teams in the NFL in those games. They brought their best effort for the Browns out of their bye week, but this is still one of the worst teams in the NFL who also traded away 2 of their best players on defense at the deadline. The Patriots have been rolling lately, off a big road win over the Bucs 28-23, and they have been beating up on bad teams all year too. The Patriots are going to be motivated for a division rival, especially since they have a chance to earn the number 1 seed now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 13, 2025 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Patriots 28 Jets 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this New York Jets New England Patriots prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 0-5 ATS off a home win. 5-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 3-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 9-3 OVER as a road underdog. 7-1 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
New England Patriots: 6-3 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. 7-2 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 6-3 OVER off a road win. 10-5 OVER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: H. Phillips (DL) Injured - Foot. W. McDonald IV (DL) Injured - Quad. B. McGregor (DL) Injured - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CB) Injured - Concussion. X. Newman (OG) Injured - Ankle. K. Herbert (RB) Injured - Groin. G. Wilson (WR) Injured - Knee. K. Mauigoa (LB) Injured - Concussion.
New England Patriots: A. Hooper (TE) Injured - Concussion. J. Gibbens (LB) Injured - Hamstring. K. Chaisson (LB) Injured - Ankle. M. Jones (CB) Injured - Elbow. J. Hawkins (S) Injured - Shoulder. C. Barmore (DL) Injured - Back. C. Woods (CB) Injured - Foot. T. Jennings (RB) Injured - Knee. T. Henderson (RB) Injured - Knee. C. Elliss (LB) Injured - Hip. G. Bradbury (C) Injured - Hip. R. Stevenson (RB) Injured - Toe. K. Boutte (WR) Injured - Hamstring. M. Mapu (LB) Injured - Neck. J. Farmer (DL) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“Listen, we know we have a long way to go and we have a lot of work to do on both sides of the ball. But I’ll tell you what, our special teams really gave us a spark today.” - Aaron Glenn after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game.
“I thought well. I think you see him pull through there with two hands on the football, and then complete a pass. I thought that was really cool. It was a big play for us, being able to take care of the football, but then also be able to extend, find and get a conversion for us. I think it always can be better, but I thought we gave ourselves a chance in protection, and there was a couple times where the pressure got to us. So, we'll keep working on it. We'll keep talking to Drake and allowing him to extend, but also being smart when he does extend.” - Mike Vrabel on Drake Maye after his team’s win against the Buccaneers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Metchie III, John
WR Johnson, Tyler
WR Smith, Arian
TE Taylor, Mason
QB Fields, Justin
RB Hall, Breece
FB Beck, Andrew
New England Patriots
WR Williams, Kyle
WR Hollins, Mack
WR Diggs, Stefon
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Henderson, TreVeyon
FB Westover, Jack
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Justin Fields (1,143)
Rushing: Breece Hall (664)
Receiving: Garrett Wilson (395)
Touchdowns: Garrett Wilson (4)
New England Patriots
Passing: Drake Maye (2,555)
Rushing: TreVeyon Henderson (430)
Receiving: Stefon Diggs (554)
Touchdowns: Kayshon Boutte (5)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (1st season)
New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
