by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jan 03, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 7, 2024
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +2, Patriots -2; Over/Under: 30.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +2.5, Patriots -2.5; Over/Under: 30.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +2, Patriots -2; Over/Under: 30.5 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 6-10 (3rd place, AFC East)
New England Patriots: 4-12 (4th place, AFC East)
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New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 37-20.
New England Patriots: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 27-21.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 6-10 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-5 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 37-20. Trevor Siemian was the starting QB and he completed 32/45 passes for 261 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 84. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jordan Whitehead led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jermaine Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 4-12 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-6 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 27-21. Bailey Zappe was the starting QB and he completed 16/26 passes for 209 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing yards with 39 and 1 TD. Kevin Harris led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Kyle Dugger led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Deatrich Wise Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Alex Austin came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Jets vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-12 record overall but they have also looked a lot better in their games lately as they are finally starting to find their groove late in the season. Their defense has been keeping them in a lot of closer games against better teams for weeks and now their offense has also been playing better since Zappe took over as the starting QB. Meanwhile, the Jets haven't looked any better this season with their 6-10 record overall which also has them eliminated from playoff contention coming into this week. The Jets have some extra rest here having last played on Thursday but they have been terrible in their road games all year with their 2-5 road record and they are also just 1-4 in their division games as they have struggled a lot against AFC East opponents. Neither team has nothing left to play for here but this season has felt like a write off for the Jets since losing Aaron Rodgers to injury in week 1 while the Patriots have been terrible all year and are finally starting to find something now, they will be looking to end the season strong with all the rumors surrounding the team too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 7, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Patriots 23 Jets 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 19-30 ATS in all games. 16-25 ATS as an underdog. 5-12 ATS versus division opponents. 5-11 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 12-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 11-6 UNDER revenging a loss against an opponent. 26-18 UNDER after allowing 35 points or more last game.
New England Patriots: 22-13 ATS in all games where the total is 35 or less. 21-9 ATS off 4 or more consecutive overs. 47-31 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 17-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 13-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 35 or less. 26-11 UNDER off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: Z. Wilson (QB) Ques Sun - Concussion. J. Ruckert (TE) Ques Sun - Concussion. A. Lazard (WR) Ques Sun - Illness. D. Brown (OT) I-R - Back. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. W. Schweitzer (OL) Out indefinitely - Calf. Q. Jefferson (DL) Out indefinitely - Hip. Z. Barnes (LB) I-R - Hamstring. C. Uzomah (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. I. Odenigbo (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
New England Patriots: T. Wheatley Jr. (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. H. Henry (TE) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Peppers (DB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. T. Brown (OL) Ques Sun - Illness. K. Boutte (WR) Ques Sun - Illness. D. Parker (WR) Ques Sun - Ribs. M. Judon (LB) Mid Jan - Bicep. J. Smith-Schuster (WR) I-R - Ankle. R. Stevenson (RB) I-R - Ankle. C. McDermott (OL) I-R - Concussion. J. Jackson (DB) Out indefinitely - Personal. C. Strange (OL) I-R - Knee. R. Reiff (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Anderson (OL) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Bourne (WR) I-R - Knee. C. Gonzalez (CB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“He's wound like that. He told me at the end of last season, he wasn't going to be a backup. He was going to play and he held to that. Joe's a great guy. The type of teammate you want. He deserves everything." - Garrett Wilson on Joe Flacco after their loss against the Browns in their last game.
"Obviously a terrible first 20 minutes. From there, we battled away, but obviously gave them too big of a lead and couldn’t quite get it back. Just stop turning it over. Once we did that, we were competitive.” - Bill Belichick after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
New England Patriots
WR Parker, Devante
WR Reagor, Jalen
WR Douglas, Demario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Zappe, Bailey
RB Elliott, Ezekiel
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (2271)
Rushing: B. Hall (816)
Receiving: G. Wilson (1008)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (8)
New England Patriots
Passing: M. Jones (2120)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (619)
Receiving: D. Douglas (548)
Touchdowns: H. Henry (6)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
