by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Dec 13, 2021
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 19, 2021
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +8.5, Dolphins -8.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +8.5, Dolphins -8.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +8.5, Dolphins -8.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 3-10 (4th place, AFC East)
Miami Dolphins: 6-7 (3rd place, AFC East)
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New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
New York Jets: lost at home on Dec. 12 against the New Orleans Saints 30-9.
Miami Dolphins: won at home on Dec. 5 against the New York Giants 20-9.
New York Jets Analysis
The Jets are coming into this game with a 3-10 record overall and they are 1-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th divisional matchup of the year and they are currently 0-4 in their division games this season but it really does not even matter for them as they have already been eliminated from playoff contention. Their last win was against the Houston Texans but they have gone on a 2 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Philadelphia Eagles and the New Orleans Saints in their last game. Zach Wilson completed 19/42 passes for 202 yards in that one. He also led the team in rushing with 33 yards on 4 carries while La'Mical Perine led the team in carries with 7 for 28 yards. Braxton Berrios led the receivers with 52 yards on 6 receptions. C.J. Mosley led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. Kyle Phillips led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 217 points in their 13 games this season averaging 16.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 367 points against them allowing 28.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 301.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 366.3 YPG.
Miami Dolphins Analysis
The Dolphins are coming into this game with a 6-7 record overall and they are 4-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th divisional matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-2 in their division games this season. Their last loss was against the Buffalo Bills but they have gone on a 5 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Houston Texans, the Baltimore Ravens, the New York Jets, the Carolina Panthers, and the New York Giants in their last game. Tua Tagovailoa completed 30/41 passes for 244 yards and 2 touchdowns in that one. Myles Gaskin led the team in rushing with 44 yards on 15 carries. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 90 yards on 9 receptions while DaVante Parker had 62 yards on 5 receptions. Mack Hollins and Isaiah Ford both caught the touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. Eric Rowe led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Jaelan Phillips led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while Xavien Howard came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 254 points in their 13 games this season averaging 19.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 288 points against them allowing 22.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 309.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 358.4 YPG.
Jets vs Dolphins Prediction
The Dolphins are coming into this game as an 8.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have been surging in their recent games with 5 straight wins, they have been playing very well in those games and have worked their way back into the Wild Card conversation. The Jets were eliminated from playoff contention but they have been so bad in their recent games and all season long. Zach Wilson is really struggling in their games and the Dolphins defense has been playing very well recently and allowing very few points against them. The Dolphins will be able to score a lot of points on the Jets as their defense has been so bad recently and the Dolphins will be able to stop the Jets from scoring a lot with their great defense. The best bet to place in this game is on the Dolphins to cover the spread here as they will pull away in this game.
Jets Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 19, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 31 Jets 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 8-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 16-28 ATS in all games. 3-9 ATS as an underdog. 5-12 ATS as a road underdog. 6-15 ATS in road games. 12-21 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-21 ATS against conference opponents. 4-12 ATS versus division opponents. 2-9 ATS in games played on a grass field. 0-6 ATS revenging a loss against opponent.
Miami Dolphins: 6-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 27-18 ATS in all games. 5-1 ATS as a home favorite. 15-8 ATS in home games. 20-13 ATS against conference opponents. 8-3 ATS off a non-conference game. 8-2 ATS in December games. 15-8 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-2 ATS off a home win.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: C. Edoga (T) day-to-day - Knee injury. T. Wesco (TE) day-to-day - Ankle injury. M. Carter II (CB) day-to-day - Concussion.
Miami Dolphins: S. Ahmed (RB) Out indefinitely - Illness. A. Hurns (WR) Late Dec - Wrist injury. L. Coleman (T) Late Dec - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"It's going to flip. This crappy part is part of the process, but at the same time it's not discouraging by any sense of the imagination because we've got a lot of young guys getting a lot of good playing time." - Robert Saleh on his team’s loss against the Saints in their last game.
"I'm glad we won, but I think there's a lot of things that we left out there on the field, a lot of plays that we wish we'd have back." - Tua Tagovailoa on their win against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Mims, Denzel
WR Crowder, Jamison
WR Cole, Keelan
TE GRIFFIN, RYAN
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Coleman, Tevin
Miami Dolphins
WR Parker, DeVante
WR Williams, Preston
WR Wilson, Albert
TE Shaheen, Adam
TE Gesicki, Mike
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Gaskin, Myles
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (1741)
Rushing: M. Carter (430)
Receiving: E. Moore (538)
Touchdowns: E. Moore (6)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1945)
Rushing: M. Gaskin (526)
Receiving: J. Waddle (849)
Touchdowns: M. Gaskin (7)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (1st season)
Miami Dolphins: Brian Flores (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
