by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 15, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 17, 2023
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +9.5, Dolphins -9.5; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +9.5, Dolphins -9.5; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +9.5, Dolphins -9.5; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 5-8 (3rd place, AFC East)
Miami Dolphins: 9-4 (1st place, AFC East)
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New York Jets: won their last game at home against the Houston Texans 30-6.
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 28-27.
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 5-8 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 30-6. Zach Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 27/36 passes for 301 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 40. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 108 receiving yards on 9 receptions. D.J. Reed led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Quinnen Williams, Solomon Thomas, Bryce Huff, and Will McDonald IV each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 9-4 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Tennessee Titans 28-27. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 23/33 passes for 240 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 96 and 2 TDs. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 6 receptions. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Christian Wilkins led the defense in sacks with 1. Zach Sieler came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Jets vs Dolphins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have looked great in their games this season with their 9-4 record overall and they have been great in their home games too with their 5-1 home record. They just lost their 1st home game of the season on Monday as they lost 28-27 to the Titans and they are going to be looking to bounce back at home after the way they lost that game. Meanwhile, the Jets haven't looked great all season with their 5-8 record overall but they did snap a losing streak in their last game with a big win over the Texans. That win was at home and Wilson looked great in the game but it will be much tougher for the Jets to go on the road to Miami in this spot with the Dolphins coming off a loss at home. The Jets just lost by double digits at home to the Dolphins a few weeks ago too. The Dolphins will be looking to bounce back in a big way at home and they have a lot more talent on their offense to burn this Jets defense with, just like they did a few weeks ago. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 38 Jets 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 19-27 ATS in all games. 7-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-11 ATS versus division opponents. 11-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 36-22 UNDER after a 2 game home stand.
Miami Dolphins: 11-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-5 ATS versus division opponents. 5-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game. 14-7 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 11-5 UNDER after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: C. Warren (OT) Ques Sun - Hip. S. Thomas (DL) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Franklin-Myers (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. Z. Wilson (QB) Prob Sun - Knee. J. Brownlee (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. W. Schweitzer (OL) Ques Sun - Calf. A. Rodgers (QB) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Becton (OT) Late Dec - Ankle. C. Uzomah (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Miami Dolphins: X. Howard (CB) Ques Sun - Hip. D. Elliott (S) Ques Sun - Concussion. L. Eichenberg (OL) Ques Sun - Calf. C. Williams (OL) I-R - Knee. D. Achane (RB) Ques Sun - Toe. C. Brooks (RB) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Holland (S) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Armstead (OT) Ques Sun - Ankle. R. Hunt (OL) Ques Sun - Hamstring. T. Hill (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Baker (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Achilles. S. Ahmed (RB) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Wynn (OL) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“The second half, I thought Zach probably played the best game of his career. I thought he was outstanding today.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game.
“I think there’s a lot of people that are going to be – it’s going to be tough to go to sleep tonight, including myself. That’s not something that you can do and expect to win football games. It’s a hard, hard lesson, but no lead is safe. I think that’s one of the tougher parts about it.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s loss against the Titans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Berrios, Braxton
TE Smythe, Durham
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Mostert, Raheem
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (2245)
Rushing: B. Hall (625)
Receiving: G. Wilson (853)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (5)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (3697)
Rushing: R. Mostert (924)
Receiving: T. Hill (1542)
Touchdowns: R. Mostert (18)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
