New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/04/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Thursday, November 4, 2021
Venue:  Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch:  Fox

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jets +10.5, Colts -10.5; Over/Under:  46 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jets +10.5, Colts -10.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jets +10.5, Colts -10.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
 

Season Record

New York Jets:  2-5 (3rd place, AFC East)
Indianapolis Colts:  3-5 (2nd place, AFC South)
 
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New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Jets:  won at home on Oct. 31 against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-31.
Indianapolis Colts:  lost at home on Oct. 31 against the Tennessee Titans in overtime 34-31.
 
 
 

New York Jets Analysis

The Jets are coming into this game with a 2-5 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. The Jets are coming into this game off of a win in their last game, snapping a 2 game losing streak that they were on prior to that. They won that game 34-31 in a game that they stayed competitive in the entire time and then when they were down by 10 points in the fourth quarter with time winding down, they pulled off the comeback and won the game with a game winning touchdown scoring drive. Mike White struggled in that game at times but he played a very good game as he completed 37/45 passes for 405 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Michael Carter led the team in rushing with 77 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries. Carter also led the receivers with 95 yards on 9 receptions while Jamison Crowder had 84 yards on 8 receptions. Ty Johnson, Tyler Kroft, and Braxton Berrios all caught the touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. C.J. Mosley led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Sheldon Rankins, Quinnen Williams, and Jabari Zuniga all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Shaq Lawson came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 114 points in their 7 games this season averaging 16.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 206 points against them allowing 29.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 306.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 390.4 YPG.
 
 

Indianapolis Colts Analysis

The Colts are coming into this game with a 3-5 record overall and they are 1-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. The Colts have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game that snapped the 2 game winning streak that they were on. They lost their last game to the Titans in OT in a game where they jumped out to a big lead in the first quarter but had led the Titans come back by halftime and then was back and forth in the second half until the game was decided by a field goal in OT off of an interception from Carson Wentz that set the Titans up nicely in field goal range. Carson Wentz had his moments in that game but he really struggled a lot as he completed 27/51 passes for 231 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing with 70 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. Michael Pittman Jr. led the receivers with 86 yards and 2 touchdowns on 10 receptions while Jack Doyle caught the other TD pass. Bobby Okereke led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. DeForest Buckner, Tyquan Lewis, and Kemoko Turay all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Kenny Moore II and Lewis both had 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 200 points in their 8 games this season averaging 25 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 183 points against them allowing 22.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 350.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 352.4 YPG.
 
 

 

Jets vs Colts Prediction

The Jets are coming into this game as a 10.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They beat the red hot Bengals in their last game and Mike White looked pretty good at the quarterback position for them. The Colts are coming off of a tough loss at home and will be at home for this one but Wentz did not play well in their loss and when they needed him most to execute and finish the game, he threw interceptions at the worst times to put the final nail in their coffin. The Colts cannot be trusted to win a game by that many points with the way Wentz is playing and the Jets have a lot of momentum on their side with Mike White leading the charge. The best bet to place here is on the Jets to cover the spread as they will keep it a close game.
 
Jets Colts Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 4, 2021 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Colts 31 Jets 28.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
New York Jets: 219-239 ATS in all games. 84-87 ATS as a road underdog. 109-117 ATS in road games. 33-40 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 162-182 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest.
Indianapolis Colts: 251-239 ATS in all games. 140-130 ATS as a favorite. 66-51 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 194-182 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Jets:  G. Fant (T) Ques Thurs - Ankle injury. Z. Wilson (QB) Late Nov - Knee injury. B. Mann (P) Ques Thurs - Knee injury. T. Coleman (RB) Ques Thurs - Hamstring injury.
Indianapolis Colts:  Q. Nelson (C) Ques Thurs - Toe injury. T. Lewis (DT) I-R - Knee injury. D. Patmon (WR) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed injury. T. Hilton (WR) Out Thurs - Concussion. R. Blankenship (K) Out indefinitely - Hip injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He's a dog. He's an animal. He's a savage. I told him before the game, 'You're a gunslinger, so let's ride.'" - Ty Johnson on what he told Mike White before the Jets went out there and upset the Bengals in their last game.
 
 
"Terrible play, terrible play. I was about to go down and was thinking just throw it, don't force it. That one I'm so mad at myself for, I'm beating myself up." - Carson Wentz on throwing a pick-6 in their last game against the Titans.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Jets
WR Davis, Corey 
WR Crowder, Jamison 
WR Cole, Keelan 
TE GRIFFIN, RYAN 
QB FLACCO, JOE 
RB Coleman, Tevin 
 
Indianapolis Colts
WR Strachan, Mike 
WR Pittman Jr., Michael 
WR HILTON, TY 
TE DOYLE, JACK 
TE Alie-Cox, Mo 
QB Wentz, Carson 
RB Taylor, Jonathan 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (1168)
Rushing: M. Carter (279)
Receiving: C. Davis (349)
Touchdowns: C. Davis (4)
 
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: C. Wentz (1926)
Rushing: J. Taylor (649)
Receiving: M. Pittman Jr. (594)
Touchdowns: J. Taylor (6)
 
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (1st season)
Indianapolis Colts: Frank Reich (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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