by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 05, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +1.5, Broncos -1.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +1.5, Broncos -1.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +1.5, Broncos -1.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 1-3 (4th place, AFC East)
Denver Broncos: 1-3 (4th place, AFC West)
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New York Jets: lost their last game at home against the Kansas City Chiefs 23-20.
Denver Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 31-28.
New York Jets vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 23-20. Zach Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 28/39 passes for 245 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 56. Allen Lazard led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Quincy Williams led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Quinnen Williams and Quinton Jefferson each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. C.J. Mosley and Ashtyn Davis each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 31-28. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 21/28 passes for 223 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaleel McLaughlin led the team in rushing yards with 72. Jerry Jeudy led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Delarrin Turner-Yell led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Nik Bonitto led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Kareem Jackson came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Jets vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets are 1-3 this season and they have been terrible in their games since Rodgers went down but Wilson looked a lot better in the offense last week as they almost came away with a win over the Chiefs. Wilson is starting to understand this offense more and since he grew up in Utah he will have no trouble playing this game on the road in Denver. The Jets have also been really good on defense in their games as they haven't been giving up a ton of points. The Broncos have also been struggling this season with their 1-3 record overall and even though they are at home in this game, the Jets have the advantage here with their better defense. Russell Wilson has already been struggling to put up points in this offense and it isn't going to get any easier for him against the Jets defense with the way they have been playing. The Broncos have also been terrible on defense themselves as they have been giving up a ton of points in their games so Wilson is going to be able to move the ball here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Jets 19 Broncos 12.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 1-7 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. 5-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 15-24 ATS off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. 9-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 37-23 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points.
Denver Broncos: 11-6 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. 5-2 ATS after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. 15-2 UNDER after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games. 15-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: M. Becton (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Reed (CB) Ques Sun - Concussion. S. Eguavoen (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. B. Echols (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Warren (OT) Ques Sun - Undisclosed. W. Schweitzer (OL) Ques Sun - Concussion. T. Adams (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. I. Abanikanda (RB) Ques Sun - Thigh. D. Brown (OT) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. K. Yeboah (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Bernard-Converse (S) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. H. Nasirildeen (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Denver Broncos: J. Jewell (LB) Ques Sun - Hip. J. Jeudy (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. L. Cushenberry III (C) Ques Sun - Quadricep. P. Locke (S) Ques Sun - Leg. J. Williams (RB) Ques Sun - Hip. M. Purcell (DL) Ques Sun - Ribs. J. Simmons (S) Ques Sun - Hip. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. F. Clark (LB) Out indefinitely - Hip. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (T) Out indefinitely - Hand. B. Browning (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Williams (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“Just that whole drive after the fumble was unfortunate. That’s extremely unfortunate, especially for a prime-time football game.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
“There'll be some tough tape tomorrow. I don't want to sugarcoat anything. We're gonna play a lot better teams on our schedule. And no disrespect to Chicago and Matt (Eberflus) and what they're trying to do. I'm sure the feeling's the same here. But I think the win was important for the group.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR COBB, RANDALL
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB WILSON, RUSSELL
RB Williams, Javonte
FB BURTON, MICHAEL
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (712)
Rushing: B. Hall (210)
Receiving: G. Wilson (225)
Touchdowns: G. Wilson (2)
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (1014)
Rushing: J. Williams (138)
Receiving: M. Mims Jr. (242)
Touchdowns: B. Johnson (3)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
