by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 12, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 17, 2023
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +9.5, Cowboys -9.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +9.5, Cowboys -9.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +9.5, Cowboys -9.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 1-0 (1st place, AFC East)
Dallas Cowboys: 1-0 (1st place, NFC East)
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New York Jets: won their last game at home against the Buffalo Bills in OT 22-16.
Dallas Cowboys: won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 40-0.
New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Buffalo Bills in OT 22-16. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB but was injured early on and replaced by Zach Wilson who completed 14/21 passes for 140 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 127. Allen Lazard led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 2 receptions. DJ Reed led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Quinton Jefferson led the defense in sacks with 2. Jordan Whitehead came away with all 3 interceptions for them in that game.
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 40-0. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 13/24 passes for 143 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 70 and 2 TDs. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Markquese Bell led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Dorance Armstrong and Osa Odighizuwa each led the defense in sacks with 2. Stephon Gilmore and Daron Bland each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Jets vs Cowboys Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys looked really good in their season opener as they won on the road and shut out the Giants 40-0 in prime time. The Cowboys were good on offense but it was their defense that was the story of the game and now they are playing this game in their home opener. There was a ton of hype surrounding the Jets this season and they managed to pull off a big win at home against the Bills in their season opener in prime time, but this is now Zach Wilson's team once again with the injury to Rodgers and they are going to get shut down by a much better defense in this game. The Cowboys defense will swallow Wilson all game and as good as the Jets played on defense in that game, they won't replicate that here with the Cowboys turning the ball over a lot less. The Cowboys look like a team that is ready to make a deep run this season and even give the Eagles a run for their money with winning the NFC East. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Cowboys Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 17, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 35 Jets 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 5-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-18 ATS against NFC East division opponents. 11-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 22-15 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog.
Dallas Cowboys: 25-13 ATS in all games. 19-9 ATS as a favorite. 10-2 ATS off a division game. 8-3 UNDER off a road win. 7-2 UNDER off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: B. Echols (CB) Elig Sun - Suspension. C. Lawson (DL) Ques Sun - Back. I. Abanikanda (RB) Ques Sun - Thigh. A. Rodgers (QB) out for season - Ankle. K. Yeboah (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Warren (OT) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Bernard-Converse (S) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. H. Nasirildeen (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Dallas Cowboys: T. Smith (OL) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Lewis (CB) Ques Sun - Foot. D. Wilson (S) Ques Sun - Calf. N. Wright (CB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Waletzko (OT) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Stephens Jr. (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Durden (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Overshown (LB) I-R - Knee. J. Ball (OT) I-R - Hip. R. Jones (RB) Elig Week 3 - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
“Concerned with his Achilles. MRI is probably going to confirm what we think is going to happen, so prayers tonight. But it’s not good.” - Robert Saleh on Aaron Rodgers after his team’s win against the Bills in their last game.
“I saw this before anybody. I said I can’t wait to get to New York. I knew it was coming. With ‘execution meets preparation,’ there is no one that can beat it. We’ve already felt this. We’ve been to war before. We knew the standard.” - Micah Parsons after their win against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Hardman Jr., Mecole
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Dallas Cowboys
WR Gallup, Michael
WR Cooks, Brandin
WR Lamb, CeeDee
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB PRESCOTT, DAK
RB Pollard, Tony
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (140)
Rushing: B. Hall (127)
Receiving: A. Lazard (46)
Touchdowns: G. Wilson (1)
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (143)
Rushing: T. Pollard (70)
Receiving: C. Lamb (77)
Touchdowns: T. Pollard (2)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
