by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 26, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, December 28, 2023
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +7.5, Browns -7.5; Over/Under: 36 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +7.5, Browns -7.5; Over/Under: 36 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +7, Browns -7; Over/Under: 36 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 6-9 (3rd place, AFC North)
Cleveland Browns: 10-5 (2nd place, AFC North)
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New York Jets: won their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 30-28.
Cleveland Browns: won their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 36-22.
New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 6-9 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-5 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 30-28. Trevor Siemian was the starting QB and he completed 27/49 passes for 217 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 95 and 2 TDs. Breece Hall led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 12 receptions. Quincy Williams led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while John Franklin-Myers and Jordan Whitehead each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Quincy Williams and Tony Adams each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The Browns are entering this game with a 10-5 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 36-22. Joe Flacco was the starting QB and he completed 27/42 passes for 368 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing yards with 25 and 1 TD. Amari Cooper led the receivers with 265 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 2 TDs. Sione Takitaki led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Za'Darius Smith led the defense in sacks with 2. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and Duron Harmon each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Jets vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-5 record overall but they have looked even better in their games lately since giving control to Joe Flacco at QB in this offense. They have looked great in their home games all year with their 7-1 home record too and they are going to be really motivated in this game since they will clinch the playoffs with a win here. Meanwhile, the Jets haven't looked great in their games all season with their 6-9 record overall and they have already been eliminated from playoff contention. They have looked better in their games lately as their schedule has been getting a bit weaker, but their entire season has been a disaster from the moment Aaron Rodgers went down and now that he is back practicing with the team, they are more focused on next season when they have something to play for. They can try to play spoiler here for the Browns but that is going to be very tough for the Jets on the road against one of the best defenses in the NFL, and now the offense has been clicking too with Flacco. The Browns are going to be motivated to win this game at home and clinch their playoff spot with a no mercy effort here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, December 28, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Browns 31 Jets 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 19-29 ATS in all games. 7-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 14-6 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 18-10 UNDER off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less.
Cleveland Browns: 10-5 ATS in all games. 7-1 ATS in home games. 10-3 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 15-8 UNDER in home games. 9-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 12-6 UNDER off a double digit road win.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: Z. Wilson (QB) Ques Thurs - Concussion. D. Brown (OT) Ques Thurs - Back. J. Ruckert (TE) Ques Thurs - Concussion. T. Siemian (QB) Prob Thurs - Elbow. G. Zuerlein (K) Ques Thurs - Quadricep. J. Franklin-Myers (DL) Ques Thurs - Ankle. A. Davis (S) Ques Thurs - Abdominal. I. Abanikanda (RB) Ques Thurs - Ankle. J. Hardee (CB) Ques Thurs - Foot. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. W. Schweitzer (OL) Out indefinitely - Calf. M. Becton (OT) Late Jan - Ankle. Q. Jefferson (DL) Out indefinitely - Hip. Z. Barnes (LB) I-R - Hamstring. C. Uzomah (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Cleveland Browns: D. Hopkins (K) Out Thurs - Hamstring. D. Thompson-Robinson (QB) I-R - Hip. J. Thornhill (S) Ques Thurs - Calf. J. Kunaszyk (LB) Ques Thurs - Calf. A. Walker Jr. (LB) Ques Thurs - Knee. M. Emerson Jr. (CB) Ques Thurs - Shin. D. Ward (CB) Prob Thurs - Shoulder. C. Tillman (WR) Prob Thurs - Knee. N. Harris (C) Prob Thurs - Knee. J. Ford (RB) Prob Thurs - Wrist. J. Flacco (QB) Prob Thurs - Calf. W. Teller (G) Ques Thurs - Calf. E. Pocic (C) Ques Thurs - Stinger. M. Goodwin (WR) Ques Thurs - Knee. G. Christian (OT) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. J. Bitonio (G) Ques Thurs - Back. K. Hunt (RB) Ques Thurs - Groin. C. Bojorquez (P) Ques Thurs - Quadricep. O. Okoronkwo (DE) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. G. Delpit (S) I-R - Groin. M. Hurst II (DT) I-R - Pectoral. D. Jones (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Wills Jr. (OT) I-R - Knee. M. Woods II (WR) out for season - Achilles. R. McLeod (S) I-R - Bicep. D. Watson (QB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Back. N. Chubb (RB) I-R - Knee. J. Conklin (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It wasn’t necessarily complacency or anything. It was just, the momentum shifted and we couldn’t grab it.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game.
“I can’t wait. ... We can earn it on Thursday.” - Kevin Stefanski on making the playoffs after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Tillman, Cedric
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Flacco, Joe
RB Ford, Jerome
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (2271)
Rushing: B. Hall (732)
Receiving: G. Wilson (958)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (7)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: J. Flacco (1307)
Rushing: J. Ford (743)
Receiving: A. Cooper (1250)
Touchdowns: K. Hunt (8)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
