by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 18, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +7, Bills -7; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +7, Bills -7; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +7, Bills -7; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 4-5 (3rd place, AFC East)
Buffalo Bills: 5-5 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 16-12.
Buffalo Bills: lost their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 24-22.
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 16-12. Zach Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 23/39 passes for 263 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zach Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 54. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 9 receptions. C.J. Mosley led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Solomon Thomas and John Franklin-Myers each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jordan Whitehead came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Bills are entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 24-22. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 15/26 passes for 177 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 109. Gabe Davis led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while A.J. Epenesa led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Jets vs Bills Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills haven't looked great this season with their 5-5 record overall and they are coming off another tough loss at home to the Broncos in their last game. The Jets haven't looked any better though with their 4-5 record overall as their defense has been keeping them in games but their inept offense has been losing a lot of those close ones. Josh Allen was terrible against the Broncos last week but after a terrible performance like he had last week, Allen usually bounces back with a better game. They are going to be at home too which helps and the Bills are due for a get right game here with the talent they have compared to the Jets, specifically on offense. The Jets defense was able to get the win at home against the Bills earlier this season but now the Bills are the home team and the way this Jets offense has been playing lately, they aren't going to do much on the road here against this Bills defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Bills Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Bills 27 Jets 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 2-13 ATS after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts. 9-16 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 7-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-4 UNDER versus division opponents. 10-5 UNDER after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts.
Buffalo Bills: 30-21 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points. 32-24 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. 27-16 UNDER as a favorite. 16-8 UNDER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: D. Brown (OT) Out Sun - Shoulder. G. Wilson (WR) Prob Sun - Elbow. J. Franklin-Myers (DL) Prob Sun - Knee. Q. Williams (LB) Prob Sun - Knee. M. Becton (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. S. Eguavoen (LB) Ques Sun - Hip. K. Yeboah (TE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. R. Cobb (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder. B. Turner (OT) Ques Sun - Hand. C. Surratt (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. W. McDonald IV (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. W. Schweitzer (OL) Out indefinitely - Calf. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Hardee (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. I. Abanikanda (RB) Out indefinitely - Thigh. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Buffalo Bills: J. Phillips (DT) Prob Sun - Knee. T. Sherfield (WR) Prob Sun - Ankle. D. Williams (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. C. Lewis (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. B. Spector (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. M. Hyde (S) Ques Sun - Neck. C. Benford (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. K. Elam (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Knox (TE) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We’re generating offense, we’re moving the ball, but we’re not finishing our drives the way we need to.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s loss against the Raiders in their last game.
“I’m confident. But I believe we can be better at the same time.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s loss against the Broncos in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Buffalo Bills
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (1863)
Rushing: B. Hall (521)
Receiving: G. Wilson (642)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (3)
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (2600)
Rushing: J. Cook (615)
Receiving: S. Diggs (868)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (7)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
