New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/09/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 10, 2022
Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY 
Where to Watch:  CBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jets +17, Bills -17; Over/Under:  45.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jets +16.5, Bills -16.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jets +16.5, Bills -16.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points
 

Season Record

New York Jets:  4-12 (4th place, AFC East)
Buffalo Bills:  10-6 (1st place, AFC East)
 
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New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Jets:  lost at home on January 2 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-24.
Buffalo Bills:  won at home on January 2 against the Atlanta Falcons 29-15.
 
 
 

New York Jets Analysis

The Jets are coming into this game with a 4-12 record overall and they are 1-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th divisional matchup of the year and they are currently 0-5 in their division games this season but they have already been eliminated from playoff contention this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this game off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Jacksonville Jaguars while their 4 losses in that span came against the Philadelphia Eagles, the New Orleans Saints, the Miami Dolphins, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their last game. Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson completed 19/33 passes for 234 yards and 1 touchdown in that one. Michael Carter led the team in rushing with 54 yards on 3 carries while Austin Walter led the team in carries with 14 for 49 yards. Ty Johnson and Braxton Berrios both ran in 1 TD on the ground each in that one. Berrios led the receivers with 65 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions. C.J. Mosley led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. Michael Carter II recorded the only sack in that game with 1 while Brandin Echols came up with the only interception in that one. They have scored 300 points in their 16 games this season averaging 18.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 477 points against them allowing 29.8 PPG against them. Their offense is averaging 322.2 YPG and their defense is allowing 396 YPG. 
 
 

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Bills are coming into this game with a 10-6 record overall and they are 5-3 in their home games this NFL season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th divisional matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 4-1 in their division games this season still looking to clinch the AFC East but have already punched their ticket to the postseason. Their last loss was against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but they have gone on a 3 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Carolina Panthers, the New England Patriots, and the Atlanta Falcons in their last game. Starting quarterback Josh Allen completed 11/26 passes for 120 yards and 3 interceptions in that one. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing with 110 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 carries while Allen also ran in 2 TDs on the ground in that one. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 52 yards on 5 carries. Tremaine Edmunds led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Taron Johnson, Gregory Rousseau, Ed Oliver, Harrison Phillips, and Mario Addison all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 456 points in their 16 games this season averaging 28.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 279 points against them allowing 17.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 379.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 286.5 YPG.
 
 

 

Jets vs Bills Prediction

The Jets are coming into this game as a 17 point underdog with the current betting odds and best odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets are coming off of a very good game against the Buccaneers that they might have won had they kicked a field goal on 4th and 2 instead of going for it. They still played very well in that game and they gave Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl Champions a big scare in that game. The Bills are coming off of a 14 point win over the Falcons but they really struggled in that game and Josh Allen threw 3 interceptions in that game. The Bills have already made the NFL playoffs, they still need to clinch their division but they may not try their hardest in this game knowing that they have already locked up a Wild Card spot at least. The best bet to place in this game is on the Jets to cover the spread here as they played really well against the Bucs in their last game and they will want to carry that play over into this game and finish their season off strong.
 
Jets Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 10, 2022 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Bills 28 Jets 17.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
New York Jets: 18-29 ATS in all games. 4-10 ATS as an underdog. 6-12 ATS as a road underdog. 7-15 ATS in road games. 14-21 ATS against conference opponents. 5-12 ATS versus division opponents.
Buffalo Bills: 5-2 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 30-19 ATS in all games. 8-4 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 23-12 ATS in games played on turf.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Jets:  M. Carter II (CB) day-to-day - Concussion. G. Fant (T) day-to-day - Knee injury. D. Brown (TE) day-to-day - Hip injury.
Buffalo Bills:  V. Butler (DT) day-to-day - Illness. E. Sanders (WR) day-to-day - Knee injury. T. White (CB) I-R - Knee injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We did a very poor job of communicating that, it just makes you sick." - Robert Saleh on the 4th down play that ended up costing his team the game against the Buccaneers.
 
 
"Not every game you win is going to be pretty, and that was the case today. I'm just fortunate to have teammates that step up in big situations like this." - Josh Allen after their win against the Falcons in their last game. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Jets
WR Mims, Denzel
WR Crowder, Jamison 
WR Cole, Keelan 
TE Yeboah, Kenny 
QB Wilson, Zach 
RB Coleman, Tevin
 
Buffalo Bills
WR Davis, Gabriel 
WR Diggs, Stefon 
WR BEASLEY, COLE 
TE Knox, Dawson 
QB Allen, Josh 
RB Singletary, Devin 
FB Gilliam, Reggie 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (2247)
Rushing: M. Carter (620)
Receiving: E. Moore (538)
Touchdowns: E. Moore (6)
 
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (4168)
Rushing: D. Singletary (782)
Receiving: S. Diggs (1144)
Touchdowns: D. Knox (9)
 
Coaches:
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (1st season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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