New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/03/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 3, 2021
Venue:  Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch:  Fox


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Giants +7.5, Saints -7.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Giants +8.5, Saints -8.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Giants +8, Saints -8; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Season Record

New York Giants:  0-3 (4th place, NFC East)
New Orleans Saints:  2-1 (3rd place, NFC South)
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New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
New York Giants:  lost at home on Sep. 26 against the Atlanta Falcons 17-14.
New Orleans Saints:  won on the road on Sep. 26 against the New England Patriots 28-13.

New York Giants Analysis

The Giants are coming into this game with a 0-3 record overall and are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their 3 losses came against the Denver Broncos in their season-opener, the Washington Football Team, and the Falcons in their last game. They will be looking to break their losing streak and get their first win of the season in this game here. Even though it was a quiet day on the scoreboard for the offense, Daniel Jones still played well completing 24/35 passes for 266 yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Saquon Barkley finally led the team in rushing in one of their games with 51 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. Kenny Golladay led the team in receiving with 64 yards on 4 receptions but overall, it was a quiet day for the receiving corps as no one player stood out in that game. Xavier McKinney led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Leonard Williams, Austin Johnson, and Azeez Ojulari all had 1 sack each in that game but no one on the defense came away with an interception. They have scored 56 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 74 points against them. Their offense has accumulated 1,071 yards total while their defense has allowed 1,139 yards against them.

New Orleans Saints Analysis

The Saints are coming into this game with a 2-1 record overall and they are 1-0 in their designated home games this season. They did not actually play their first game at home though as that game was moved to Jacksonville due to the hurricane Ida. This will be their first game of the year in their own stadium so this is technically their true home-opener in front of all their fans. Their 1 loss came against the Carolina Panthers in an NFC South divisional game. Their 2 wins came against the Green Bay Packers in their season-opener and the Patriots in their last game. Quarterback Jameis Winston played alright in that game as he completed 13/21 passes for 128 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has been an alright replacement for Drew Brees so far to start the season. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing with 89 yards on 24 carries. He did not find the end zone on the ground but did through the air with 1 touchdown and 29 receiving yards on 3 receptions. It was a quiet day for the receiving corps as Marquez Callaway led the team in receiving with 41 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Marshon Lattimore led the defense with 8 solo tackles, 2 assisted ones, and also had 1 interception in that game. Demario Davis also had a great game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Malcolm Jenkins and P.J. Williams both had 1 interception each as well while Chauncey Gardner and Tanoh Kpassagnon both had 1 sack each. It was Malcolm Jenkins though who ran his interception all the way back to the house for a pick-6. They have scored 73 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 42 points against them. Their offense has accumulated 720 yards total this season while their defense has allowed 931 yards against them.


Giants vs Saints Prediction

All of the Saints' games this season have had 41 points total or less in them. Their defense has been playing very well, not giving up a lot of yards or points to their opponents. When playing in their non-divisional games this year, the Giants have not scored more than 14 points in a game so far. They are coming off of a game against another opponent from the NFC South and that game barely had 30 points in it. The Giants will struggle to score here while the Saints offense will likely not score a bunch of points. The best bet to place in this game is on the under as it should be a low scoring game that the Giants will struggle in against the Saints defense.
Giants Saints Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 3, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 23 Giants 13.
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NFL Betting Trends

New York Giants: 137-118 ATS as an underdog. 132-101 ATS in road games.
New Orleans Saints: 146-127 O/U as a favorite. 129-111 O/U in home games. 163-137 O/U in dome games.

Key Injuries

New York Giants:  J. Jackson (CB) day-to-day - Calf injury. J. Hilliard (LB) day-to-day - Foot injury. N. Ebner (DB) day-to-day - Quadricep injury.
New Orleans Saints:  T. Siemian (QB) day-to-day - Illness. T. Armstead (T) day-to-day - Elbow injury. M. Thomas (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury.

Players to Watch

New York Giants: Daniel Jones is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in passing, rushing, and in touchdowns. The Giants are now winless through 3 games so look for him to step up here and make some big plays here to help his team get a win.
New Orleans Saints: Alvin Kamara is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns. He has had a quiet year so far so look for him to have a breakout game here and help his team pick up another win with a big performance.

Notable Quotes

"I told the guys that we have something special. I don't know when it is going to happen. But we've believe it will. We've got to believe in each other and believe in the scheme. And when it happens, we've got something special." Saquon Barkley on the belief he has in his team to make a comeback in the season and win some games.
"We're mindful of it every week, but it had to be something that was put in our heads every day. I thought we took care of the football. I thought that was important." - Sean Payton on his team taking care of the football and not turning it over.

Starting Lineups

New York Giants
WR Golladay, Kenny 
WR Shepard, Sterling 
TE Engram, Evan 
TE Smith, Kaden 
QB Jones, Daniel 
RB Barkley, Saquon 
FB Penny, Elijhaa 
New Orleans Saints
WR Callaway, Marquez 
WR Harris, Deonte 
TE Trautman, Adam 
QB Winston, Jameis 
RB Kamara, Alvin 
FB Armah, Alex 

Statistical Leaders

New York Giants
Passing: D. Jones (782)
Rushing: D. Jones (161)
Receiving: S. Shepard (223)
Touchdowns: D. Jones (2)
Sacks: A. Ojulari (3)
Tackles: L. Ryan (16)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: J. Winston (387)
Rushing: A. Kamara (177)
Receiving: D. Harris (112)
Touchdowns: A. Kamara (2)
Sacks: T. Kpassagnon (2)
Tackles: D. Davis (17)
New York Giants: Joe Judge (2nd season)
New Orleans Saints: Sean Payton (16th season)

Weather Forecast

83 degrees F partly cloudy, 74% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 10 mph wind speeds E.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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