New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 12/5/2021

by Chuck Sommers

Game time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Where to watch: FOX

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Dolphins -4.5
BetMGM: Dolphins -4.5
Caesars: Dolphins -5

Season record
Giants: 4-7 (Last place, NFC East)
Dolphins: 5-7 (3rd place, AFC East)

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Giants - Dolphins preview and analysis


Last week
Giants: won 13-7 at Eagles
Dolphins: won 33-10 vs. Panthers

Even when the New York Giants win, they lose.

The Giants will not have starting quarterback Daniel Jones on Sunday when they visit the Miami Dolphins.

New York’s struggling leader on offense is week-to-week with a neck injury and Mike Glennon will be getting the first-team reps heading into this weekend. The line opened at 4.5 in favor of the Dolphins and hasn’t seen any movement since the news.

The Giants are coming off a 6-point win against the Philadelphia Eagles in a loser-leaves-the-NFL matchup. Jones threw for 202 yards and a touchdown while putting together a passer rating of 94, showing that the Giants can actually have some success without Jason Garrett calling plays.

What a world, says Cowboys fans everywhere.

The Giants retired Michael Strahan’s No. 92 before the game, a stark reminder that the New York defense could hold a limp Philly offense to so few points but enough to remind the world the Giants have a long way to go.

"Anytime that something like this happens, we want to make the players that played before us proud," said safety Xavier McKinney, who recorded his team-leading fifth interception last week. "That's how we play. We're going to fight on every down. It was something we saw (the ceremony) and we wanted to go out and dominate."

Clearly the key for the Giants is to retire everyone’s number in the organization to remind them of who they play for. If that was the case, Joe Judge’s job wouldn’t be in such peril.

But the Giants managed to hold the Eagles to just 332 total yards and intercepted Jalen Hurts three times in what seems like a rare victory.

The difference here is that the Dolphins are not the Eagles and the Giants are likely getting run over by the red-hot Miami football team this weekend.

The Dolphins won their fourth straight game with a 23-point win over the Carolina Panthers. Suddenly, the Dolphins are a game back from a playoff spot and have found life in an AFC wild card picture that is very crowded.

Tua Tagovailoa completed a career-high 87.1 percent of his passes and threw for 230 yards and a touchdown in the win. Since returning from the fractured ribs a month ago, Tagovailoa has completed 80 percent of his passes to go with three touchdowns and only one interception.

"We look like the team that we kind of wanted to be at the beginning of this year," Tagovailoa said.

The Dolphins have been underdogs in two of their four wins, including Sunday against Carolina (+1) but have covered all of them. Prior to that, the Dolphins went 0-4-1 against the spread in their previous five.

The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five having been underdogs in all five.

Prediction


If you had little faith of Jones doing anything offensively, I’d imagine that faith is even lower with Glennon at the helm. I expect the Giants to not have the same kind of defensive impact they did against the Eagles because they were the Eagles, and for Tua to take control and slice up the New York secondary. Dolphins by 14

Betting trends


The Giants are 14-7 ATS in their last 21 road games.

The Giants are 0-6 ATS after a stretch of winning two of three.

The Dolphins are 14-8 ATS in their last 22 home games.

The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after winning at home.

Players to watch


Giants: Wide receiver Kenny Golladay had a team-high 50 receiving yards last week, another instance of how abysmal this passing attack has been.

Dolphins: Running back Myles Gaskin hasn’t had a ton of yards this season, but he did find the endzone twice and a second consecutive game of at least 50 yards from scrimmage.

Statistical leaders


Giants:
Passing: Daniel Jones -- 2,428 yards, 10 TD, 7 INT
Rushing: Devontae Booker -- 340 yards, 2 TD
Receiving: Kadarius Toney -- 392 yards
Defense: Xavier McKinney -- 5 INT

Dolphins:
Passing: Tua Tagovailoa -- 1,701 yards, 10 TD, 6 INT
Rushing: Myles Gaskin -- 482 yards, 3 TD
Receiving: Jaylen Waddle -- 759 yards, 4 TD
Defense: Jaelan Phillips -- 6.5 sacks

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Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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