by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 03, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Giants +10.5, Dolphins -10.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Giants +11, Dolphins -11; Over/Under: 50 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Giants +11, Dolphins -11; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
New York Giants: 1-3 (4th place, NFC East)
Miami Dolphins: 3-1 (2nd place, AFC East)
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New York Giants: lost their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks 24-3.
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 48-20.
New York Giants vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
The Giants are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 24-3. Daniel Jones was the starting QB and he completed 27/34 passes for 203 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Daniel Jones led the team in rushing yards with 66. Matt Breida led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Bobby Okereke led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kayvon Thibodeaux led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 48-20. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 25/35 passes for 282 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 2 TDs. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 3 receptions. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Andrew Van Ginkel led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
Giants vs Dolphins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins finally came down to Earth in their last game as they were smoked by the Bills on the road but they are only going to be looking to bounce back in this home game. They still have a lot of weapons on the offense and they are going to have no problem moving the ball against this Giants defense that has been terrible in their games. The Giants lost again on Monday night to the Seahawks as they moved to 1-3 on the season and even worse than this Giants defense is the offense that hasn't been able to do anything. Their offense has been terrible since Barkley has been out but even with him in it they haven't really been putting up a ton of points in their games. The Dolphins are going to roll right over the Giants as the Giants offense will continue to struggle in this game and only wear down the defense even more. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Giants Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 42 Giants 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Giants: 21-11 ATS against AFC East division opponents. 13-4 ATS off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more. 24-14 UNDER in all games. 21-10 UNDER as an underdog. 13-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5.
Miami Dolphins: 13-23 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 5-12 ATS off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a division rival. 24-9 UNDER against NFC East division opponents. 11-5 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 9-3 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
Key Injuries
New York Giants: G. Owens (DB) day-to-day - Hamstring. D. Bellinger (TE) day-to-day - Knee. J. Schmitz (OL) day-to-day - Shoulder. A. Thomas (OT) day-to-day - Hamstring. S. Barkley (RB) Mid Oct - Ankle. T. Sweeney (TE) Out indefinitely - Illness. A. Robinson (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Myarick (FB) I-R - Hand. B. Ford-Wheaton (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Hassenauer (OL) I-R - Tricep. J. Davis (LB) I-R - Knee.
Miami Dolphins: T. Armstead (OT) day-to-day - Knee. D. Elliott (S) day-to-day - Ankle. C. Williams (OL) day-to-day - Groin. J. Phillips (LB) day-to-day - Oblique. E. Apple (CB) day-to-day - Concussion. T. Kroft (TE) day-to-day - Back. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. R. Cracraft (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Jones (OL) Early Oct - Knee. J. Wilson Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. J. Ramsey (CB) Mid Dec - Knee. N. Needham (CB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“No excuses, we didn't get the job done.” - Brian Daboll after his team’s loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
“First off, I think the Buffalo Bills proved why they are the team our whole division is trying to beat. They’ve won it for how many years in a row now?” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Giants
WR Hodgins, Isaiah
WR Slayton, Darius
WR Campbell, Parris
TE WALLER, DARREN
QB Jones, Daniel
RB Barkley, Saquon
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Berrios, Braxton
TE Smythe, Durham
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB MOSTERT, RAHEEM
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
New York Giants
Passing: D. Jones (765)
Rushing: D. Jones (173)
Receiving: D. Waller (153)
Touchdowns: S. Barkley (2)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1306)
Rushing: D. Achane (309)
Receiving: T. Hill (470)
Touchdowns: R. Mostert (7)
Coaches:
New York Giants: Brian Daboll (2nd season)
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
