New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets Prediction and Picks - 12/12/2021

by James Q

New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets Prediction and Picks - 12/12/2021



Game Time: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 12th, 2021 
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Where to Watch: CBS


Opening NFL Odds at USA Sportsbooks

Circa:  Point Spread: Saints -5.5  : O/U 43
Caesars: Spread:  Saints -5.5 : O/U 43.5
BetMGM:  Spread:  Saints -5.5; : O/U 43.5 

Season Record

Saints: 5-7, last place NFC South
Jets: 3-9, last place AFC East

This is a matchup of teams that struggle to get touchdowns.  The Jets field rookie Zach Wilson at quarterback, without much protection.  The Saints field (maybe) Taysom Hill at quarterback.  Taysom Hill will not be a HOF quarterback… he could have been a Hall of Fame fullback or scatback or slot receiver had he been doing that full time.. He’s a freak athlete… but he hasn’t landed many receptions in the game he has played QB.

The Saints have lost 4 games in a row.  The last loss was to the Dallas Cowboys 27-17, they also lost to the Philadelphia Eagles 40-29, add in the Bills and Titans and you have a stretch of the season that the Saints promised not to make the playoffs to their fans.  This contest against the Jets they may not want to win… because from here on everything hits the NFL draft and nothing else. If Jameis Winston hadn’t suffered a torn ACL they may have won 2-3 more games and missed whatever stud comes out of this upcoming draft.

The Jets lost their last game to the Eagles, but got an easy win off the lousy Houston Texans the week before.  Jets games have been a dumpster fire this season. They don’t have enough talent despite spending 90 million on free agents in the offseason… They have basically Quinnen Williams on defense (Carl Lawson tore his achilles before the season started) and maybe Zach Wilson on offense…. When he is not throwing interceptions.  There are no insights to how they could be better this season, but they should think about shrink wrapping every player they want for next season and losing out the rest of the games.
  
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Saints vs Jets Preview and Analysis

RECENT FORM
The Saints are 5-7 on the season and 5-7 ATS.  They have logged 6 Overs and 6 Unders.  They are a 3-3 coinflip on the road.

The Jets are 3-9 on the season and 3-9 ATS. They have notched 7 Overs and 5 Unders.  They are an encouraging 2-4 in home games.  That number would only be encouraging to a team that has only 3 wins in twelve games.


Offensive Analysis 

The Saints are 18th in points per game with 22.8, 24th in yards per game with 317.3.  That breaks down to 25th in passing offense and 14th in rush offense.

The Jets are lousy on offense… 26th in ppg 18.1, 22nd in yards 327.  That breaks down to a lousy lousy 30th in rushing yards with 84.7… but a surprisingly OK 12th in passing yards with 242.3 ypg.  The Jets should absolutely keep their coach… but coach should absolutely audition everyone on the roster for run plays!!  If you accept that you can’t run at all the defense can play you all day long… Run Run Run… try a TE on an end-around… try a double reverse with receivers whose names no one knows… try something to get over 100 yards rushing!

Defensive Analysis

The Saints are much better on defense than on offense.  They are 14th in defending yards by only allowing 346.5 per game.  They are an astounding 5th in the NFL in run defense by only allowing 96.4 yards per game… the problem is of course pass defense where they rank 22nd and give up 250.1 ypg.


Saints vs Jets Prediction

Our prediction for Sunday, December 12th is…  Saints 17 - Jets 13

The Jets can’t win for losing… so this week they will keep losing.  



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NFL Betting Trends

The Saints are 15-7 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons.
The Saints are 10-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season, over the last 3 seasons.

The Jets are 3-9 ATS as an underdog this season.
The Jets are 2-4 ATS in home games this season.
The Jets are 5-12 ATS when playing a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Starting Lineups

Saints: QB Taysom Hill, WR Marquez Callaway, WR Tre’quan Smith, WR Ty Montgomery, TE Garrett Griffin, OT Will Clapp, LT James Hurst, LG Calvin Throckmorton, C Erik McCoy, RG Cesar Ruiz, RT Jordan Mills

Jets: QB Zach Wilson, RB Tevin Coleman, WR Elijah Moore, WR Corey Davis, TE Dan Freeney, TE Ryan Griffin, LT George Fant, LG Alijah Vera-Tucker, C Connor McGovern, RG Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, RT Morgan Moses

 

Statistical Leaders

Saints
Touchdowns: Alvin Kamara 3
Rushing: Alvin Kamara 530
Passing: Jameis Winston 1170
Receiving: Deonte Harris 523
Sacks: Marcus Davenport 5.5
Interceptions: P.J. Williams 3
 
Jets
Touchdowns: Michael Carter 4
Rushing: Michael Carter 430
Passing Zach Wilson 1539
Receiving: Elijah Moore 538
Sacks: Quinnen Williams 6
Interceptions: Sharrod Neasman 1

COACHES

Saints: Sean Payton.  Coach Payton is having his worst season as a Saints coach… take the draft pick coach.

Jets: Robert Saleh.  Coach Saleh will need a couple of seasons to turn the ship around in New York.  If he doesn’t get it… the ship will never turn around.

Weather Forecast

Mostly Sunny, but cold.  45* Humidity 44%, wind 14 mph.

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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