by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 10, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Saints -3, Vikings +3; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Saints -3, Vikings +3; Over/Under: 40.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Saints -3, Vikings +3; Over/Under: 41 points
Season Record
New Orleans Saints: 5-4 (1st place, NFC South)
Minnesota Vikings: 5-4 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
New Orleans Saints: won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 24-17.
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 31-28.
New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings Preview and Analysis
The Saints are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 24-17. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 25/34 passes for 211 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Taysom Hill led the team in rushing yards with 52. Chris Olave led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Demario Davis led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Demario Davis and Cameron Jordan each led the defense in sacks with 1. Paulson Adebo came away with 2 interceptions for them while Marcus Maye also came away with 1 interception in that game.
The Vikings are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 31-28. Jaren Hall was the starting QB and he completed 5/6 passes for 78 passing yards before getting replaced by Joshua Dobbs who completed 20/30 passes for 158 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Joshua Dobbs led the team in rushing yards with 66 and 1 TD. T.J. Hockenson led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jordan Hicks led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jordan Hicks led the defense in sacks with 1. Byron Murphy Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Saints vs Vikings Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings got off to a terrible start this season and things were looking very bleak for them after losing Kirk Cousins to an injury. They have managed to pull themselves back over .500 with their 5-4 record overall and they are going to have a ton of momentum on their side here coming back home after the way they won against the Falcons on the road last week. Meanwhile, the Saints are also 5-4 this season as they have been starting to figure things out on offense lately but they didn't look great in their home game last week and now they have to go on the road with the Vikings starting to get hot. The Vikings have all the momentum with them as Josh Dobbs continues to defy the odds and the team will bring their best effort for him in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Saints Vikings Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 12, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Vikings 23 Saints 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
New Orleans Saints: 7-14 ATS as a favorite. 6-14 ATS in dome games. 5-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 28-15 UNDER in all games. 15-7 UNDER in road games. 9-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 20-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Minnesota Vikings: 39-24 ATS as a home underdog. 5-1 ATS against conference opponents. 24-15 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 16-9 UNDER off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less.
Key Injuries
New Orleans Saints: A. Prentice (FB) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Davis (LB) Prob Sun - Knee. J. Graham (TE) Ques Sun - Illness. T. Summers (LB) Ques Sun - Concussion. I. Foskey (DE) Ques Sun - Quadricep. K. Miller (RB) Ques Sun - Ankle. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.
Minnesota Vikings: T. Hockenson (TE) Prob Sun - Oblique. J. Jefferson (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Reed (G) Prob Sun - Foot. J. Nailor (WR) Prob Sun - Hamstring. J. Mundt (TE) Ques Sun - Knee. C. Akers (RB) I-R - Achilles. B. Asamoah II (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Lowry (DL) Ques Sun - Groin. K. Osborn (WR) Ques Sun - Undisclosed. C. Darrisaw (OT) Ques Sun - Groin. J. Hall (QB) Ques Sun - Concussion. K. Cousins (QB) I-R - Achilles. M. Davenport (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. N. Mullens (QB) Out indefinitely - Back. O. Udoh (G) I-R - Quadricep. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“That’s pretty impressive, right? Half the guys in our locker room would have no idea who Frank Gifford is.” - Dennis Allen on Taysom Hill after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
“I don't know if I've been a part of one like that, an ultimate team win.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Saints
WR THOMAS, MICHAEL
WR Shaheed, Rashid
WR Olave, Chris
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB CARR, DEREK
RB Kamara, Alvin
Minnesota Vikings
WR Osborn, K.J.
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Powell, Brandon
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Dobbs, Joshua
RB Mattison, Alexander
FB HAM, C.J.
Statistical Leaders
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (2121)
Rushing: A. Kamara (346)
Receiving: C. Olave (563)
Touchdowns: T. Hill (4)
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: K. Cousins (2331)
Rushing: A. Mattison (434)
Receiving: J. Jefferson (571)
Touchdowns: J. Addison (7)
Coaches:
New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
