by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 28, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 30, 2025
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Saints +5.5, Dolphins -5.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Saints +5.5, Dolphins -5.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Saints +5.5, Dolphins -5.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
New Orleans Saints: 2-9 (4th place, NFC South)
Miami Dolphins: 4-7 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 24-10.
Miami Dolphins: won their last game at a neutral site against the Washington Commanders 16-13 in overtime.
New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
The Saints are entering this game with a 2-9 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-5 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 24-10. Tyler Shough was the starting QB and he completed 30/43 passes for 243 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Tyler Shough led the team in rushing yards with 22. Chris Olave led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Demario Davis led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Cameron Jordan, Isaiah Stalbird, and Chase Young each led the defense in sacks with 1. Justin Reid came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 4-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 16-13 in OT. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 14/20 passes for 171 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 120. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 10 assisted tackles while Tyrel Dodson led the defense in sacks with 1. Jack Jones came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Saints vs Dolphins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 4-7 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 2-3 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Saints have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-9 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC South with one of the worst records in the NFL. They haven't been a good road team either with their 1-4 road record. They are off a 24-10 loss to the Falcons in their last one and they have one of the worst offenses in the NFL. They recently made a change at QB, going with their rookie Shough, but he hasn't been any better in this offense. He did lead the team to their only road win in Carolina, but they still only put up 17 points in that one. Their defense hasn't looked great either and this Dolphins offense has looked a lot better at home this year. The Dolphins are off a 16-13 win over the Commanders in Spain in their last one and they have been gaining some momentum over the last month. They are also coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this game, and as bad as they started the season, they have come a long way since then. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Saints Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 30, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 30 Saints 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New Orleans Saints: 16-28 ATS in all games. 4-10 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 28-17 UNDER in all games. 9-2 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive unders.
Miami Dolphins: 7-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-2 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 7-2 ATS vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game. 8-5 UNDER in non-conference games.
Key Injuries
New Orleans Saints: A. Kamara (RB) Injured - Knee. C. Olave (WR) Injured - Back. T. Fuaga (OT) Injured - Ankle. D. Neal (RB) Injured - Ankle.
Miami Dolphins: M. Judon (LB) Injured - Knee. D. Waller (TE) Injured - Pectoral. R. Douglas (CB) Injured - Foot. B. Chubb (LB) Injured - Foot. B. Jones (DL) Injured - Ankle. A. Jackson (OG) Injured - Toe. A. Brewer (OG) Injured - Foot. I. Melifonwu (S) Injured - Thumb. D. Eskridge (WR) Injured - Shoulder. J. Waddle (WR) Injured - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“It just hit (Kamara's) elbow; it was just literally like a fluke deal. It’s on me at the end of the day. I’ve got to make sure I can hang onto that.” - Tyler Shough after their loss against the Falcons in their last game.
“They fought for belief, and now they’ve been awarded real belief based on performance and results. So, I think we’ll be excited to play our next game. We need the time off. We definitely wish we could play, our locker room would probably want to play tomorrow even though they’re a little beat up.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Saints
WR Tipton, Mason
WR Vele, Devaughn
WR Olave, Chris
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB Shough, Tyler
RB Neal, Devin
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
WR Washington, Malik
TE Dulcich, Greg
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
New Orleans Saints
Passing: Spencer Rattler (1,586)
Rushing: Alvin Kamara (471)
Receiving: Chris Olave (734)
Touchdowns: Chris Olave (4)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: Tua Tagovailoa (2,123)
Rushing: De'Von Achane (900)
Receiving: Jaylen Waddle (722)
Touchdowns: De'Von Achane (9)
Coaches:
New Orleans Saints: Kellen Moore (1st season)
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
