by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Saints +1.5, Colts -1.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Saints +1, Colts -1; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Saints +1, Colts -1; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
New Orleans Saints: 3-4 (3rd place, NFC South)
Indianapolis Colts: 3-4 (3rd place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-24.
Indianapolis Colts: lost their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 39-38.
New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis
The Saints are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-24. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 33/55 passes for 301 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 62. Alvin Kamara led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 12 receptions. Paulson Adebo led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Colts are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 39-38. Gardner Minshew was the starting QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 305 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. Josh Downs led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Zaire Franklin led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Kenny Moore II led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Julian Blackmon and Rodney Thomas II each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Saints vs Colts Prediction
The current betting odds have the Colts listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Colts are only 3-4 this season and their season hasn't been great since they already lost their starting rookie QB Anthony Richardson but they haven't looked bad with Gardner Minshew running the offense and they are coming off a really close loss at home to the Browns by 1 point in their last game. The Saints are also 3-4 this season and they haven't looked any better as their defense has been really good but their offense has been struggling to put up points. They also have some off field distractions now with the arrest of Chris Olave so they are going to be missing some weapons with a banged up Derek Carr too. The Colts have been a lot more consistent on offense in their games and they will be able to put up points in this home game while the Saints struggle once again. The best way to place a bet here is on the Colts to cover the spread in this game.
Saints Colts Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Colts 31 Saints 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
New Orleans Saints: 12-6 ATS after a game with 50 or more pass attempts. 6-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 27-14 UNDER in all games. 15-6 UNDER as an underdog. 15-6 UNDER in road games. 15-7 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Indianapolis Colts: 7-17 ATS off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less. 6-14 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10-5 UNDER as a favorite. 9-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
New Orleans Saints: J. Johnson (TE) day-to-day - Calf. A. Prentice (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. L. Young (OT) day-to-day - Hip. J. Gray (DB) day-to-day - Hamstring. R. Ramczyk (OT) day-to-day - Concussion. J. Hurst (OL) day-to-day - Ankle. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.
Indianapolis Colts: B. Smith (OT) day-to-day - Foot. K. Granson (TE) day-to-day - Concussion. A. Richardson (QB) I-R - Shoulder. G. Stewart (DT) Elig Week 14 - Suspension. E. Hull (RB) I-R - Knee. D. Flowers (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Woods (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Pinter (G) I-R - Ankle. T. Leo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. G. Avery (DE) I-R - Knee. A. Dulin (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Witt (OT) I-R - Hip. D. Scott (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We’re finding it hard to start fast, finding it hard to maintain, to execute sometimes and we’re finding it hard to finish. That’s kind of the glaring and recurring theme.” - Alvin Kamara after their loss against the Jaguars in their last game.
“There was a lot of good, I feel, on the offensive side and then once again just really turnovers. I think we need to do a better job of taking care of the ball and playing complementary football.” - Gardner Minshew after their loss against the Browns in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Saints
WR THOMAS, MICHAEL
WR Shaheed, Rashid
WR Olave, Chris
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB CARR, DEREK
RB Kamara, Alvin
Indianapolis Colts
WR Pierce, Alec
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Downs, Josh
TE Granson, Kylen
QB Minshew, Gardner
RB Taylor, Jonathan
Statistical Leaders
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (1600)
Rushing: A. Kamara (261)
Receiving: C. Olave (471)
Touchdowns: R. Shaheed (2)
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: G. Minshew (1187)
Rushing: Z. Moss (523)
Receiving: M. Pittman Jr. (489)
Touchdowns: Z. Moss (5)
Coaches:
New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
