New Orleans Saints vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/15/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Saints -1.5, Texans +1.5; Over/Under:  41 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Saints -1.5, Texans +1.5; Over/Under:  41.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Saints -1.5, Texans +1.5; Over/Under:  41.5 points

New Orleans Saints:  3-2 (3rd place, NFC South)

Houston Texans:  2-3 (3rd place, AFC South)

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New Orleans Saints:  won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 34-0.

Houston Texans:  lost their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 21-19.

The Saints are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 34-0. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 183 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 80 and 1 TD. Michael Thomas led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Alontae Taylor led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Carl Granderson led the defense in sacks with 1. Pete Werner and Tyrann Mathieu each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Texans are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 21-19. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 20/35 passes for 249 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Dameon Pierce led the team in rushing yards with 66. Dalton Schultz led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jalen Pitre led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints have been getting by this season with their 3-2 record right now but they looked a lot better in their last game as they finally had a blowout win on the road against the Patriots. The Saints looked really good on defense in that game as they got the shutout and have only reinforced themselves as one of the best defenses in the league. The Texans also have a good defense on a team that has been overperforming at 2-3 this year and even CJ Stroud has looked really good in his rookie season. As good as Stroud has been this year, he is still on a team that doesn't have a ton of talent and the Saints offense is a lot better with more talented weapons and an experienced QB who can use them. Their offense is going to get better as the season goes on and their defense is playing like one of the best in the league right now. This is the best defense Stroud will have faced in his NFL career and he is not going to look as good in this game as their offense will struggle to move the ball. The best way to place a bet here is on the Saints to cover the spread in this game. 

Saints Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 15, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 27 Texans 13.

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New Orleans Saints: 22-13 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less. 29-20 ATS after a win by 21 or more points. 12-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 6-1 UNDER off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog. 19-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Houston Texans: 7-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 22-39 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 6-1 UNDER after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. 11-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 

New Orleans Saints:  L. Johnson Jr. (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. J. Johnson (TE) day-to-day - Calf. A. Peat (G) day-to-day - Concussion. L. Young (OT) day-to-day - Hip. J. Williams (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Maye (S) Elig Week 6 - Suspension. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. J. Haener (QB) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.

Houston Texans:  T. Dell (WR) day-to-day - Concussion. T. Thomas (CB) day-to-day - Hand. J. Jones (OT) day-to-day - Hand. S. Griffin (CB) day-to-day - Calf. C. Harris (LB) day-to-day - Concussion. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Calf. N. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Scruggs (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. C. Heck (OT) Out indefinitely - Foot. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

“Anytime you find yourself in a lull or rut ... you’ve got to find a way to fix it fast. Sometimes you get those ruts and it compounds and it starts to just turn into your identity. That’s the one thing we didn’t want to happen, because we know what our identity is. We kind of got a chance to put it on display today.” - Alvin Kamara after their win against the Patriots in their last game. 

“We were in situations where we could get points and we didn’t. We had to kick field goals when we were in those positions." - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Falcons in their last game. 

WR THOMAS, MICHAEL

WR Shaheed, Rashid  

WR Olave, Chris 

TE Johnson, Juwan 

QB CARR, DEREK 

RB Kamara, Alvin 

FB Prentice, Adam

WR Collins, Nico 

WR Dell, Tank  

WR WOODS, ROBERT 

TE Schultz, Dalton 

QB Stroud, C.J. 

RB Pierce, Dameon 

FB Beck, Andrew 

Passing: D. Carr (946)

Rushing: A. Kamara (131)

Receiving: C. Olave (318)

Touchdowns: C. Olave (1)

Passing: C. Stroud (1461)

Rushing: D. Pierce (247)

Receiving: N. Collins (467)

Touchdowns: N. Collins (3)

Coaches:

New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)