by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Sep 21, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Saints +2, Packers -2; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Saints +2, Packers -2; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Saints +1.5, Packers -1.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
New Orleans Saints: 2-0 (2nd place, NFC South)
Green Bay Packers: 1-1 (1st place, NFC North)
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New Orleans Saints: won their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 20-17.
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 25-24.
New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Saints are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 20-17. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 21/36 passes for 228 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Taysom Hill led the team in rushing yards with 75. Chris Olave led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Marcus Maye led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Marcus Maye, Demario Davis, Carl Granderson, and Nathan Shepherd each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 25-24. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 14/25 passes for 151 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 55. Dontayvion Wicks led the receivers with 40 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Kenny Clark and Rashan Gary each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Rasul Douglas came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Saints vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints are 2-0 this season and just pulled off a nice divisional win on the road in Carolina. The Saints have a really good defense this year as they usually do but now they have an experienced starting QB to lead this offense. Carr hasn't looked great in this offense the first 2 weeks but he is only going to get better as he plays in it more and he has a lot of weapons to utilize too. The Packers have also looked good in their first 2 games but they beat the Bears and lost by 1 point to the Falcons, both teams being in the bottom third of the NFL this season. Jordan Love has looked good at times in their games but he is still inexperienced as a starter and now he has to play against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Saints defense is going to shut down this weaker Packers offense and the Saints offense will also have a much easier time moving the ball with this being Carr's 3rd game in the offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Saints to cover the spread in this game.
Saints Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 24 Packers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New Orleans Saints: 1-7 ATS after 2 straight wins by 3 or less points. 5-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 16-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 12-6 UNDER in road games. 14-6 UNDER as an underdog.
Green Bay Packers: 13-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 14-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 11-6 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 7-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
Key Injuries
New Orleans Saints: K. Miller (RB) Prob Sun - Hamstring. F. Moreau (TE) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Hill (TE) Prob Sun - Knee. M. Maye (S) Elig Week 6 - Suspension. A. Kamara (RB) Elig Week 4 - Suspension. J. Williams (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. T. Smith (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Haener (QB) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.
Green Bay Packers: D. Whelan (P) Prob Sun - Finger. L. Van Ness (LB) Ques Sun - Elbow. R. Gary (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. A. Johnson Jr. (S) Ques Sun - Knee. C. Watson (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. A. Jones (RB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. E. Jenkins (G) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Bakhtiari (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It was awesome. He was great. We ran the ball effectively. I think we blocked it up front and he made the right cuts. You know, two touchdowns on the game. It was big for him and big for us.” - Dennis Allen after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game.
“It just comes down to execution and being better in the fourth quarter and being able to play a full game.” - Jordan Love after their loss against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Saints
WR THOMAS, MICHAEL
WR Shaheed, Rashid
WR Olave, Chris
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB CARR, DEREK
RB Williams, Jamaal
FB Prentice, Adam
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (533)
Rushing: T. Hill (79)
Receiving: C. Olave (198)
Touchdowns: T. Jones Jr. (2)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (396)
Rushing: A. Dillon (74)
Receiving: A. Jones (86)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (2)
Coaches:
New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
