New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/11/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 11, 2024

Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +1, Kings -1; Over/Under:  218 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +1, Kings -1; Over/Under:  218 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +1.5, Kings -1.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

New Orleans Pelicans:  47-32 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Sacramento Kings:  45-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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New Orleans Pelicans:  5-5 last 10

Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10

The Pelicans are entering this game with a 47-32 record overall and they are 26-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Trey Murphy III led the team in points in that game with 31 while CJ McCollum was next on the team with 29 points. Jonas Valančiūnas and Dyson Daniels each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Trey Murphy III and Jonas Valančiūnas each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 41.4% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 93.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.4 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 42-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-44-1.

The Kings are entering this game with a 45-34 record overall and they are 23-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 33 while Keon Ellis was next on the team with 26 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 34.4% from the field, 34.5% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 40-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-41-3.

The current betting odds have the Pelicans listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pelicans have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-32 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now and trying to avoid the play-in games. They have also looked great in their road games this year with their 26-14 road record, playing better in their road games this year than they have at home. Meanwhile, the Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 45-34 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West. They have looked really good on their home court this year with their 23-15 home record, but they have still been worse at home than the Pelicans have been on the road. Both of these teams are still fighting for a true playoff spot in the West so both teams will bring their best effort here. Both teams are also 5-5 in each of their last 10 games, but the Kings are coming off a loss while the Pelicans have more momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. The Pelicans are going to be looking to hold down their final playoff spot in the West right now and they will fight hard to keep this a close game even if they lose in the end. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pelicans to cover the spread in this game. 

Pelicans Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 11, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Pelicans 117 Kings 111.

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New Orleans Pelicans: 11-6 ATS as a road underdog. 22-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 35-16 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 15-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 11-6 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more.

Sacramento Kings: 13-21 ATS as a home favorite. 5-12 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 16-24 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more. 27-19 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 9-5 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 

New Orleans Pelicans:  N. Marshall (PF) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. B. Ingram (SF) Mid April - Knee.

Sacramento Kings:  M. Monk (SG) Mid May - Knee. K. Huerter (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

“Trey has done a tremendous job stepping in and becoming a starter. We rely on him. His shot-making makes it difficult to help off CJ and help off Zion.” - Willie Green after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Tuesday.

“I thought in the first half our ball movement was beautiful. And I thought we got bored with it in the second half.” - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Tuesday.

PG CJ McCollum

SG Trey Murphy III

SF Herbert Jones

PF Zion Williamson

C Jonas Valanciunas

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Keon Ellis

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PPG: Z. Williamson (22.9)

APG: B. Ingram (5.8)

Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (8.9)

PPG: D. Fox (26.6)

APG: D. Sabonis (8.2)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.8)

Coaches:

New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (3rd season)

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)