New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Apr 12, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, April 12, 2024
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  221 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  221 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  221 points

Season Record

New Orleans Pelicans:  47-32 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Golden State Warriors:  44-35 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
New Orleans Pelicans:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  8-2 last 10


New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Pelicans are entering this game with a 47-32 record overall and they are 26-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Portland Trail Blazers still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Trail Blazers, Trey Murphy III led the team in points in that game with 31 while CJ McCollum was next on the team with 29 points. Jonas Valančiūnas and Dyson Daniels each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Trey Murphy III and Jonas Valančiūnas each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 41.4% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 93.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.4 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 42-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-44-1.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 44-35 record overall and they are 20-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz and the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Portland Trail Blazers still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Lakers, Klay Thompson led the team in points in that game with 27 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 23 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Trayce Jackson-Davis and Stephen Curry each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 58.8% from the field, 63.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 43-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-39.


Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 44-35 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have already clinched a spot in the play-in games and they have been really hot in their games lately. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have looked good in their games this season with their 47-32 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now. They have also been a great road team this year with their 26-14 road record. The Pelicans have some momentum on their side too with 2 wins in a row now, but they are also playing this game on a back-to-back and haven't looked great lately either. They have won 2 games in a row coming into this back-to-back, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Warriors have also won 2 games in a row and are also on a back-to-back here, but they have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games. As good as the Pelicans have been in their road games this year, this is a tough situation to be in with a game against the Kings the night before while the Warriors have an easier game against the Trail Blazers and have been really hot over the last few weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.

Pelicans Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 12, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 122 Pelicans 114.
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NBA Betting Trends


New Orleans Pelicans: 2-15 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more. 7-18 ATS off a road win. 4-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 35-17 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 11-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 25-9 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs.

Golden State Warriors: 22-13 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 26-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 15-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 10-5 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 17-7 UNDER off a road win. 5-1 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more.

Key Injuries


New Orleans Pelicans:  N. Marshall (PF) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. B. Ingram (SF) Mid April - Knee.

Golden State Warriors:  D. Green (PF) Ques Thurs - Knee. D. Saric (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“Trey has done a tremendous job stepping in and becoming a starter. We rely on him. His shot-making makes it difficult to help off CJ and help off Zion.” - Willie Green after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Tuesday.


“I didn't feel like we played that well, but we made a million 3s. The ball was going in, but I didn't think we were sharp. A lot of possessions where we weren't just quite locked in and we were a little bit disjointed, but the ball kept going in. ... To shoot 63% from 3, that's crazy.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


New Orleans Pelicans
PG CJ McCollum
SG Trey Murphy III
SF Herbert Jones
PF Zion Williamson
C Jonas Valanciunas

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Trayce Jackson-Davis

Statistical Leaders


New Orleans Pelicans
PPG: Z. Williamson (22.9)
APG: B. Ingram (5.8)
Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (8.9)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (26.4)
APG: C. Paul (6.9)
Reb/G: D. Green (7.1)

Coaches:
New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (3rd season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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