New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +9, Warriors -9; Over/Under:  235 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +8.5, Warriors -8.5; Over/Under:  235 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pelicans +9, Warriors -9; Over/Under:  235 points

New Orleans Pelicans:  37-37 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  39-37 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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New Orleans Pelicans:  6-4 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10

The Pelicans are coming into this game with a 37-37 record overall and they are 13-24 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Houston Rockets, the San Antonio Spurs, the Charlotte Hornets, and the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Trey Murphy III and Brandon Ingram each led the team in points in that game with 32 while CJ McCollum was next on the team with 21 points. Brandon Ingram led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 53.1% from the field, 61.8% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.7 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 35-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-38.

The Warriors are coming into this game with a 39-37 record overall and they are 30-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Jordan Poole led the team in points in that game with 27 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 20 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Draymond Green and Kevon Looney each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.5% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.7 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 35-40-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-32-3.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors haven't been that great this season as they are the defending NBA Champions but only have a mediocre 39-37 record overall this season. They have been a really good home team though with their 30-8 home record and they are coming off a loss to the Timberwolves at home in their last game so they have some extra motivation to bounce back here. The Warriors are also a middle of the pack team in the West as they are in 6th place and holding down the last actual playoff spot so they will be pushing hard to keep that in these final games. The Pelicans had a great start to the season and were looking like one of the best teams in the West but a few injuries later and they now have a 37-37 record overall, struggling to even make the playoffs. They have also been terrible in their road games with a 13-24 road record but they do have some momentum with 4 wins in a row now. Those 4 wins also came against some of the worst teams in the NBA though and now they are going to have a tough Warriors team on their hands that has been great at home all year and looking to bounce back in a big way. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Pelicans Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 28, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 118 Pelicans 102.

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New Orleans Pelicans: 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-17 ATS as a road underdog. 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Golden State Warriors: 26-12 ATS in home games. 23-10 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 22-8 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

New Orleans Pelicans:  J. Alvarado (PG) Mid April - Shin. Z. Williamson (PF) Mid April - Hamstring. E. Liddell (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Late April - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Wiggins (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“Trey shot the cover off the ball. And it was good to see him make shot after shot after shot. He’s capable, our team is capable, and that’s the standard in which we want to play.” - Willie Green after his team’s win against the Clippers in their game on Saturday.

“I thought a couple possessions in those last two minutes just hurt us and they hit the big shot.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Sunday.

PG CJ McCollum

SG Trey Murphy III

SF Brandon Ingram

PF Herbert Jones

C Jonas Valanciunas

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Donte DiVincenzo

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PPG: Z. Williamson (26)

APG: C. McCollum (5.9)

Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (9.9)

PPG: S. Curry (29.4)

APG: D. Green (6.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.1)

Coaches:

New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (2nd season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)