by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 15, 2024
Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024
Venue: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: NMSU +39, Texas A&M -39; Over/Under: 54 points
Bet365: Point Spread: NMSU +39, Texas A&M -39; Over/Under: 54 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: NMSU +39.5, Texas A&M -39.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
New Mexico State Aggies: 2-7 (1-5) (10th place, C-USA)
Texas A&M Aggies: 7-2 (5-1) (2nd place, SEC)
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Recent Form
New Mexico State Aggies: lost their last game at home against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 41-28.
Texas A&M Aggies: lost their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 44-20.
New Mexico State Aggies vs Texas A&M Aggies Preview and Analysis
New Mexico State is entering this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have a 1-5 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Western Kentucky 41-28. Santino Marucci was the starting QB and he completed 10/20 passes for 129 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Mike Washington led the team in rushing yards with 152 and 2 TDs. Seth McGowan led the receivers with 47 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Dylan Early led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Tyler Martinez led the defense in sacks with 1. Dakerric Hobbs and Da'Marcus Crosby each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Texas A&M is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against South Carolina 44-20. Marcel Reed was the starting QB and he completed 18/28 passes for 206 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Amari Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 83 and 1 TD. Jabre Barber led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Taurean York led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Prediction
The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 39 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 5-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have looked great in their home games with their 4-1 home record and they have put themselves in a good position to not only make the SEC Championship, but also the CFP. Meanwhile, New Mexico State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-7 record overall and their 1-5 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the Conference USA. They haven't looked good in their games lately either, coming off a 41-28 loss to Western Kentucky at home in their last one, and they have looked terrible in their road games with their 0-4 road record. Texas A&M is coming off a loss to South Carolina in their last one and that was their first conference loss of the season, but now they are coming out of their bye week and have had extra time to think about that loss, preparing for this game. They will be looking to finish the season strong and they will use this game to bounce back with a much better performance and get themselves back on track to finish their SEC schedule for the year. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game.
New Mexico State Texas A&M Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 56 NMSU 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
New Mexico State Aggies: 11-6 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 4-0 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Texas A&M Aggies: 12-19 ATS in all lined games. 6-11 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 0-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more. 4-0 1H OVER after a bye week. 4-1 1H OVER after allowing 37 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
New Mexico State Aggies: D. Hogan (QB) Out - Collarbone.
Texas A&M Aggies: L. Moss (RB) Out - Leg. R. Owens (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. J. Henderson (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Chappell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bisontis (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Nabou (OL) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"When you turn the ball over five times, it's hard to win a football game. That was a critical moment right there. We needed to turn the corner, and we weren't able to do it." - Tony Sanchez after his team’s loss against WKU in their last game.
“Obviously I did a poor job getting our defense to understand how you tackle a 240-pound kid. We kept trying to get up high.” - Mike Elko after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Mexico State Aggies
WR David, Kordell
WR Johnson III, PJ
WR Smith, Jordan
TE Lydiatt, Jerry
QB Marucci, Santino
RB McGowan, Seth
Texas A&M Aggies
WR Thomas, Noah
WR Allen, Cyrus
WR Barber, Jabre
TE Watson, Tre
QB Weigman, Conner
RB Moss, Le'Veon
Statistical Leaders
New Mexico State Aggies
Passing: P. Awad (518)
Rushing: S. McGowan (626)
Receiving: T. Pride (238)
Touchdowns: M. Washington (7)
Texas A&M Aggies
Passing: M. Reed (861)
Rushing: L. Moss (769)
Receiving: N. Thomas (367)
Touchdowns: L. Moss (10)
Coaches:
New Mexico State Aggies: Tony Sanchez (1st season)
Texas A&M Aggies: Mike Elko (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
