New Mexico State Aggies vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/26/2022

Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Monday, December 26, 2022

Venue:  Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  NM State +3.5, BGSU -3.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  NM State +3.5, BGSU -3.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  NM State +3.5, BGSU -3.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

 

New Mexico State Aggies:  6-6 (5th place, FBS Independents)

Bowling Green Falcons:  6-6 (5-3) (3rd place, MAC East)

 

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New Mexico State Aggies:  won their last game at home against the Valparaiso Crusaders 65-3.

Bowling Green Falcons:  lost their last game on the road against the Ohio Bobcats 38-14.

 

New Mexico State is entering this Quick Lane Bowl game with a 6-6 record overall to end their college football season and they will be playing their 1st neutral site game of the season here as they are 0-0 in those games this year. They won against the Valparaiso Crusaders in their last game at home 65-3. Diego Pavia started that game at QB and he completed 9/13 passes for 323 yards and 4 touchdowns. Ahmonte Watkins led the team in rushing with 78 yards and 1 TD on 1 rushing attempt. Kordell David led the team in receiving with 95 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions. Trevor Brohard led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Gabe Peterson, Tyriece Thomas, Devlin Kirklin, Izaiah Reed, and Lazarus Williams each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Bowling Green is entering this Quick Lane Bowl game with a 6-6 record overall to finish their college football season and they will be playing their 1st neutral site game of the season as they are 0-0 in those games this year. They lost against the Ohio Bobcats in their last game on the road 38-14. Matt McDonald started that game at QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Nick Mosley led the team in rushing with 29 yards on 4 carries. Tyrone Broden led the team in receiving with 81 yards and 1 TD on 2 catches. Chris Bacon led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them while no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.

The current betting odds have Bowling Green listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Bowling Green played really well this season and at one point they were even in the conversation for the MAC Title game but things started to unravel for them in the final stretch and they finished the season off with some bad games against conference opponents. They are looking for a Bowl win to end their season off here though and their players are going to be very motivated to get a win in this game. New Mexico State had a very good season for their standards as Jerry Kill has brought this team to a Bowl game after years of 1 to 0 win seasons and he has done a lot to really improve this team this season. It would be great for him to cap off his 1st year with a Bowl win too but he still has a lot of work to do in this program and just qualifying for the Bowl game alone has been a great accomplishment for him and this program this year. Bowling Green still has a better team overall though and they are going to be a lot more motivated to win here as they were not satisfied with the way their season ended. The best way to place a bet here is on Bowling Green to cover the spread in this game.

 

New Mexico State Bowling Green Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Monday, December 26, 2022 (2:30 pm ET start time) is BGSU 31 NM State 17.

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New Mexico State Aggies: 12-21 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 45-72 ATS after playing a game at home. 9-2 OVER after a win by 17 or more points.

Bowling Green Falcons: 19-11 ATS off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival. 11-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 6-1 OVER in minor bowl games (played in December).

 

 

New Mexico State Aggies:  None.

Bowling Green Falcons:  None.

 

 

"I was told there's no way to win there, and this was the worst program in the country. I thought, 'Hey, those are the kinds of challenges I like.'" - Jerry Kill on his mindset before taking this head coaching job at the beginning of the season.

 

 

“We’re the only show in town on that day, and this is a really important game. This is a really important game for two [reasons]; No. 1, we didn’t send our seniors out on a victory, and we need to do that. There’s some guys on this team that have been through absolute hell, and they need to leave on a positive note. They need to run over and grab that trophy in Detroit and have a great, positive experience. No. 2, we need to springboard into 2023. I told our staff, I look at this as an in-season, high-opponent game. That’s the way we’re approaching it.” - Scot Loeffler on this upcoming Bowl game against NM State.

 

 

 

WR Powers, Justice

WR David, Kordell

WR Brady, Jonathan 

TE Whitford, Thomaz

QB Pavia, Diego

RB Jones, Jamoni 

 

WR Broden, Tyrone 

WR Lewis, CJ 

WR Hiliare, Odieu 

TE Sims, Christian

TE Gazarek, Levi 

QB McDonald, Matt

RB Patterson, Jaison 

 

 

Passing: D. Pavia (1275)

Rushing: S. Thomas (474)

Receiving: J. Powers (398)

Touchdowns: J. Jones (7)

 

Passing: M. McDonald (2639)

Rushing: J. Patterson (560)

Receiving: O. Hiliare (720)

Touchdowns: O. Hiliare (6)

 

Coaches:

New Mexico State Aggies: Jerry Kill (1st season)

Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (4th season)