by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Sep 17, 2026
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 19, 2026
Venue: Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNM +21.5, Oklahoma -21.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNM +21.5, Oklahoma -21.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNM +21.5, Oklahoma -21.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
New Mexico Lobos: 2-0 (0-0) (3rd place, MWC)
Oklahoma Sooners: 1-1 (0-0) (14th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
New Mexico Lobos: won their last game at home against the Mercyhurst Lakers 70-7.
Oklahoma Sooners: lost their last game on the road against the Michigan Wolverines 17-10.
New Mexico Lobos vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis
New Mexico is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Mercyhurst 70-7. Luke Moga was the starting QB and he completed 4/9 passes for 82 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Scottre Humphrey led the team in rushing yards with 110 and 2 TDs. Troy Omeire led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Clay Martineau led the defense in that game with 5 tackles while Brett Karhu led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Tavian Combs, Jahmir Torres, Jaxton Eck, and Joshua Barnes each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Michigan 17-10. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 17/33 passes for 189 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. John Mateer led the team in rushing yards with 45. Rocky Beers led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Owen Heinecke led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Taylor Wein and Reggie Powers III each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
New Mexico vs Oklahoma Prediction
The current betting odds have New Mexico listed as a 21.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. New Mexico has looked good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall so far. They haven't played any road games yet and will be playing their 1st road game of the season here. Meanwhile, Oklahoma hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 1-1 record overall so far. They have looked good on their home field though with their 1-0 home record this season. Oklahoma had high hopes coming into the season, but they are coming off a 17-10 road loss to Michigan last week and that could be detrimental to their season. They have dropped well out of the playoff picture now and even though their defense has looked great in both games, their offense was in shambles against Michigan. They did play a really good defense and will have a weaker one here, but they also haven't been challenged by a good offense yet and New Mexico definitely has one. New Mexico was a frisky team last season in their 1st year with Jason Eck and now they will be looking to take a big step in his 2nd year. The offense has been great since he took over the team and they are coming off a 70-7 win over Mercyhurst in their last one. They haven't really been challenged yet either, but they are catching Oklahoma off a crushing loss and they will have some success moving the ball with their offense. Oklahoma has a lot of issues to fix on offense and New Mexico should be able to do enough to keep this game within the number. The best way to place a bet here is on New Mexico to cover the spread in this game.
New Mexico Oklahoma Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 19, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 31 New Mexico 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
New Mexico Lobos: 0-6 ATS against SEC opponents. 16-25 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 29-48 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 17-10 UNDER as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 17-11 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more.
Oklahoma Sooners: 16-11 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 29-18 ATS off a road loss. 17-7 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 5-0 UNDER against Mountain West conference opponents. 14-5 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite.
Key Injuries
New Mexico Lobos: A. Williams (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Walsh (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Miller (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Mingo (WR) Questionable - Foot. D. Layne (QB) Out - Elbow. J. Olsen (TE) Out - Knee.
Oklahoma Sooners: T. Harris (WR) Out - Back. K. Lewis (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Blaylock (RB) Questionable - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“Very talented team. They are the most talented team we will see on our schedule. They have an exceptional defense. Exceptional special teams. And they are very good on offense as well.” - Jason Eck on his team’s upcoming game against Oklahoma this week.
“I certainly was planning on coming in here and talking about the great comeback that we had, but fell short. Really disappointed in how things shaped out.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against Michigan in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Mexico Lobos
WR Omeire, Troy
WR Williams, Miles
WR Smith, Zhaiel
TE Keith, Cade
QB Moga, Luke
RB Humphrey, Scottre
Oklahoma Sooners
WR Livingstone, Parker
WR Harris, Trell
WR Sategna III, Isaiah
TE Hansen, Hayden
QB Mateer, John
RB Robinson, Xavier
Statistical Leaders
New Mexico Lobos
Passing: Luke Moga (198)
Rushing: Scottre Humphrey (174)
Receiving: Cade Keith (91)
Touchdowns: Scottre Humphrey (3)
Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: John Mateer (414)
Rushing: Lloyd Avant (114)
Receiving: Rocky Beers (137)
Touchdowns: Isaiah Sategna III (1)
Coaches:
New Mexico Lobos: Jason Eck (2nd season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
