Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots +10.5, 49ers -10.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots +10, 49ers -10; Over/Under: 40.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots +10.5, 49ers -10.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 1-2 (4th place, AFC East)
San Francisco 49ers: 1-2 (4th place, NFC West)
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New England Patriots: lost their last game on the road against the New York Jets 24-3.
San Francisco 49ers: lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 27-24.
New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets 24-3. Jacoby Brissett was the starting QB and he completed 12/18 passes for 98 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions before getting replaced by Drake Maye who completed 4/8 passes for 22 yards. Antonio Gibson led the team in rushing yards with 29. Demario Douglas led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Raekwon McMillan led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Joshua Uche and Deatrich Wise Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The 49ers are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 27-24. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 22/30 passes for 292 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan Mason led the team in rushing yards with 77. Jauan Jennings led the receivers with 175 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 3 TDs. Charvarius Ward led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Javon Hargrave, Sam Okuayinonu, and Maliek Collins each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Patriots vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the 49ers listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The 49ers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They were in the Super Bowl last season and opened up the year with a big win at home over the Jets, but now they have lost 2 games in a row and haven't looked good in those. They blew a lead in a bad loss to the Rams last week, but both of their losses have also come on the road this season so expect a better performance here now that they are back at home. Meanwhile, the Patriots haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They looked really good in their season opener as they pulled off an upset win on the road against the Bengals and then lost in a really close game at home to the Seahawks right after, but now they are coming off a bad loss to the Jets in their last one. The Bengals are also 0-3 to start the season now so that win doesn't look as good anymore, especially with the way that Bengals defense has looked. This will be a much tougher game for the Patriots on the road against a talented defense and they are going to struggle to move the ball with their run heavy offense, just like they did last week. The 49ers are due for a bounce back game here at home and they still have a lot more talent on both offense and defense to dispose of this Patriots team. The best way to place a bet here is on the 49ers to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is 49ers 27 Patriots 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 8-15 ATS as an underdog. 2-6 ATS off a road loss. 4-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-1 UNDER off a road loss. 16-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 9-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
San Francisco 49ers: 9-4 ATS after playing a division game. 6-3 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 6-2 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 6-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 6-3 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: H. Henry (TE) Injured - Ankle. J. Jones (CB) Injured - Shoulder. M. Jordan (G) Injured - Ankle. A. Austin (CB) Injured - Ankle. C. Gonzalez (CB) Injured - Shoulder. C. Wallace (T) Injured - Knee. M. Onwenu (OL) Injured - Wrist. D. Andrews (C) Injured - Rest. J. Peppers (SAF) Injured - Ankle. A. Jennings (LB) Injured - Shoulder. S. Sow (G) Injured - Ankle. V. Lowe (T) Injured - Knee.
San Francisco 49ers: T. Williams (OT) Injured - Illness. J. Hargrave (DL) Injured - Triceps. B. Purdy (QB) Injured - Back. G. Kittle (TE) Injured - Hamstring. D. Samuel (WR) Injured - Calf. D. Winters (LB) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I don't know. We talk every single week that you’re competing for a job. We’ll get together as a coaching staff and see where it goes.” - Jerod Mayo on the QB situation after his team’s loss against the Jets in their last game.
“Jauan was unbelievable. The numbers show it, but more than the numbers, he was a warrior the whole game. He’s always like that. Got a lot more opportunities today, and he was automatic on every single one.” - Kyle Shanahan after his team’s loss against the LA Rams in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Polk, Ja'Lynn
WR Osborn, K.J.
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Brissett, Jacoby
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
San Francisco 49ers
WR Aiyuk, Brandon
WR Conley, Chris
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Saubert, Eric
QB Purdy, Brock
RB Mason, Jordan
FB Juszczyk, Kyle
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: J. Brissett (368)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (224)
Receiving: H. Henry (136)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (2)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (842)
Rushing: J. Mason (324)
Receiving: J. Jennings (276)
Touchdowns: J. Jennings (3)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (8th season)