New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/07/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, December 7, 2023

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +6, Steelers -6; Over/Under:  31.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +6, Steelers -6; Over/Under:  31 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +6, Steelers -6; Over/Under:  31 points

New England Patriots:  2-10 (4th place, AFC East)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  7-5 (2nd place, AFC North)

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New England Patriots:  lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 6-0.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 24-10.

The Patriots are entering this game with a 2-10 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-5 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 6-0. Bailey Zappe was the starting QB and he completed 13/25 passes for 141 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing yards with 52. DeVante Parker led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jonathan Jones led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Steelers are entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 24-10. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 7/10 passes for 70 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Mitch Trubisky who completed 11/17 passes for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 63. George Pickens led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Mykal Walker led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Alex Highsmith led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked terrible this season with their 2-10 record overall which is one of the worst in the entire NFL right now. They have looked terrible in their road games too with their 1-4 road record but it has mainly been their offense letting them down in games. The defense has still been managing to keep them in closer games but the offense hasn't been able to put the points up to win the game. They will be in their 2nd game in a row with Zappe starting though and he should have a better performance than he did last week. Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked good this season with their 7-5 record overall and their 4-3 home record, but they have had the same problem as the Patriots with a great defense and an offense that has been struggling to put up points. The difference with the Steelers is that they are putting up a bit more points and finding ways to win these close games unlike New England, but being on a short week here for Thursday night, this will be another closer game with both defenses playing well and even if the Steelers win this game at home, it won't be by much against this defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game. 

Patriots Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, December 7, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Steelers 16 Patriots 13.

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New England Patriots: 2-10 ATS in all games. 6-17 ATS as an underdog. 2-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 9-3 UNDER in all games. 7-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 7-2 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 24-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 35 or less. 8-2 ATS after a loss by 10 or more points. 14-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 10-2 UNDER in all games. 12-5 UNDER as a favorite. 16-8 UNDER in home games. 

New England Patriots:  R. Reiff (OL) day-to-day - Knee. D. Douglas (WR) day-to-day - Head. R. Stevenson (RB) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Judon (LB) Mid Dec - Bicep. C. Anderson (OL) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Bourne (WR) I-R - Knee. K. Boutte (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Wheatley Jr. (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Gonzalez (CB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  K. Pickett (QB) Early Jan - Ankle. M. Adams (DT) day-to-day - Ankle. I. Seumalo (G) day-to-day - Shoulder. E. Riley (S) Out indefinitely - Ankle. K. Neal (S) Out indefinitely - Ribs. K. Alexander (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Holcomb (LB) I-R - Knee. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.

“The defense played great. The offense starts with me. I’ve got to get things going.” - Bailey Zappe after their loss against the LA Chargers in their last game. 

“We got our (butts) kicked. I don't know if it got away from us. We got pummeled today.” - T.J. Watt after their loss against the Cardinals in their last game. 

WR Parker, Devante 

WR Thornton, Tyquan 

WR Douglas, Demario 

TE Henry, Hunter 

QB Zappe, Bailey 

RB Stevenson, Rhamondre

WR Pickens, George 

WR Johnson, Diontae  

WR Robinson II, Allen 

TE Freiermuth, Pat   

QB Pickett, Kenny 

RB Harris, Najee

Passing: M. Jones (2120)

Rushing: R. Stevenson (619)

Receiving: D. Douglas (410)

Touchdowns: K. Bourne (4)

Passing: K. Pickett (2070)

Rushing: N. Harris (661)

Receiving: G. Pickens (748)

Touchdowns: N. Harris (4)

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)