by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Dec 24, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 28, 2025
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots -13.5, Jets +13.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots -13.5, Jets +13.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots -13.5, Jets +13.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 12-3 (1st place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 3-12 (4th place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
New England Patriots: won their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 28-24.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 29-6.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 12-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 7-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 28-24. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 31/44 passes for 380 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 51 and 1 TD. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 138 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Christian Gonzalez led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Anfernee Jennings led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 3-12 record overall and they have a 0-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New Orleans Saints 29-6. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 22/35 passes for 188 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 54. Isaiah Davis led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jamien Sherwood led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jamien Sherwood, Will McDonald IV, and Jowon Briggs each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Patriots vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked great in their games this season with their 12-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC East with the best record in the entire NFL. They have been a great road team too with their 7-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-12 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East. They have looked bad on their home field too with their 2-5 home record this season. The Jets are off a 29-6 loss to the Saints in their last one and they look like a team that has punted on the season. They have been a disaster all year with a terrible offense that has struggled to move the ball in their games, and lately they have had one of the worst defenses in the NFL too. The Patriots are off a 28-24 win over the Ravens in their last one, bouncing back after a loss at home to the Bills. The offense has looked great with Drake Maye taking a big step in his 2nd season, and the defense has looked decent too. They have been beating up on bad teams like this all season, even beating the Jets by 13 a few weeks ago, and they are still going to bring their best effort here since they have a real chance at the number 1 seed in the AFC. The Jets don't have anything to play for in this game and they have looked like the worst team in the NFL lately, look for the Patriots to roll over another bad team here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 28, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Patriots 34 Jets 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 6-3 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 6-3 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. 8-4 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 6-3 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-4 OVER off a road win.
New York Jets: 19-28 ATS in all games. 5-10 ATS versus division opponents. 4-9 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 10-4 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 6-2 OVER at home off a road loss.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: None.
New York Jets: None.
Notable Quotes
“We're going to try to win the division. We're going to focus on that. I'm excited. All the credit to the players. When we win, it's because of them.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s win against the Ravens in their last game.
“He gives us the best chance to win. He wouldn’t be in there if we didn’t believe that.” - Aaron Glenn after his team’s loss against the Saints in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Hollins, Mack
WR Diggs, Stefon
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Henderson, TreVeyon
FB Westover, Jack
New York Jets
WR Mitchell, Adonai
WR Metchie III, John
WR Williams, Isaiah
TE Ruckert, Jeremy
QB Cook, Brady
RB Hall, Breece
FB Beck, Andrew
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: Drake Maye (3,947)
Rushing: TreVeyon Henderson (776)
Receiving: Stefon Diggs (869)
Touchdowns: TreVeyon Henderson (8)
New York Jets
Passing: Justin Fields (1,259)
Rushing: Breece Hall (954)
Receiving: Garrett Wilson (395)
Touchdowns: Garrett Wilson (4)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (1st season)
New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
